Smith conducted two polls that were published in Globes in May 30th.
The poll was conucted May 26-27 (before the Presidential Deadline and Rivlin endorsements by Bennett and Netanyahu).
The first poll was with the 12 Knesset factions as they are today.
The second poll was a scenario poll with a Kachalon Party, and Likud running separate from Yisrael Beitenu.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
15 [19] Yesh Atid
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Shas
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
04 [04] Hadash
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
67 [61] Right-Religious
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
23 [20] Likud
15 [15] Labor
14 [–] Kachalon
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
73 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If you consider Kachalon right wing (or at least more right over Lapid) he brings 6 additional seats over to the right-religious block. Livni is not able to pass the new threshold in either poll.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 