Issue Trends A Zman Israel poll shows that the coalition’s draft bill is opposed by a majority of the public, and that amendments to the bill would increase support by only 13.8%. A Channel 12 poll indicates that the previous government led by Naftali Bennett is viewed as having performed better than the current government led by Benjamin Netanyahu, by a 7% margin.
Bloc Trends The Bennett bloc continues to gain at the expense of Netanyahu’s bloc, and in five of the seven polls it is within the margin of error for Bennett to form a government without relying on the Arab parties. The Netanyahu bloc remains relatively stable. Among the individual parties, Golan reaches double digits in four polls, Liberman and Lapid do so in two polls each, and Eisenkot registers a high of eight and a low of four.
Eyes on the Threshold Within the Bennett bloc, Gantz fails to cross the electoral threshold in all polls, and even in a week dominated by headlines about the draft bill, Hendel crosses the threshold in only one poll. Lapid also fails to pass the threshold in one poll. Within Netanyahu’s bloc, Smotrich crosses the threshold in four of the seven polls.
What to Expect Next With the budget now approved by the government, polling and political attention is expected to shift toward cost-of-living issues.