Eyes on the threshold: Smotrich crossed the electoral threshold in two of the six polls (Maagar Mochot and Filber), while Gantz’s Blue & White passed in just one (Tatika). Balad and Hendel’s Miluimnikim failed to cross in any poll.
Bloc Trends: Bloc alignments remained unchanged from last week in the Kantar, Midgam, Filber, and Tatika polls. The Bennett Bloc gained two seats overall, rising from 59 to 61, driven by Bennett 2026’s increase from 19 to 21 seats. The party added two seats in the Tatika and one in the Filber poll.
| # | Pollster | Ordered by / Published on | Sample Size | Margin of Error | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kantar | Channel 11 | 550 | Not given | 27.10.25 |
| 2 | Midgam | Channel 12 | 504 | 4.4% | 30.10.25 |
| 3 | Maagar Mochot | Channel 13 | Not given | Not given | 29.10.25 |
| 4 | Direct Polls (Filber) | Channel 14 | 781 | Not given | 29.10.25 |
| 5 | Tatika (with Panel Adgenda) | Zman Yisrael | 500 | 4.4% | 29–30.10.25 |
| 6 | Panels Politics (Lazar) | Maariv | 501 | 4.0% | 29–30.10.25 |
| Party | Kantar (Ch11) | Midgam (Ch12) | Maagar Mochot (Ch13) | Filber (Ch14) | Tatika (Zman Yisrael) | Panels (Maariv) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud (Netanyahu) | 27 | 26 | 27 | 35 | 30 | 25 |
| Bennett 2026 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 12 | 20 | 21 |
| Democrats (Golan) | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Shas (Deri) | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Yesh Atid (Lapid) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| Yashar (Eisenkot) | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| Otzma Yehudit (Ben Gvir) | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| United Torah Judaism | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| Hadash–Ta’al | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Ra’am (Abbas) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Religious Zionism (Smotrich) | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4 | 5 | – | 2.2% |
| Blue & White (Gantz) | 3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4 | 1.9% |
| Balad | 2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | – | 2% |
| Miluimnikim (Hendel) | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | – | – | 1.9% |
| Bennett Bloc | 59 | 59 | 54 | 44 | 57 | 61 |
| Netanyahu Bloc | 51 | 51 | 57 | 66 | 54 | 48 |
| Arab Bloc | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| Poll | Question (translated) | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Kantar (Ch11) | Support applying Israeli sovereignty in Judea & Samaria (West Bank)? | 36% Support, 32% Oppose, 32% Don’t know |
| “Has Israel become a U.S. protectorate?” | 48% Agree, 29% Disagree, 23% Don’t know | |
| Midgam (Ch12) | PM suitability: Netanyahu vs Bennett | Netanyahu 37%, Bennett 34%, Neither 24%, Don’t know 5% |
| PM suitability: Netanyahu vs Eisenkot | Netanyahu 41%, Eisenkot 28%, Neither 26%, Don’t know 5% | |
| PM suitability: Netanyahu vs Lapid | Netanyahu 41%, Neither 27%, Lapid 26%, Don’t know 6% | |
| PM suitability: Netanyahu vs Liberman | Netanyahu 38%, Neither 36%, Liberman 21%, Don’t know 5% | |
| Support for new draft law? | 20% Support, 44% Oppose, 16% No opinion, 20% Haven’t heard | |
| Among those who heard of the law | 25% Support, 56% Oppose, 19% No opinion | |
| Should Israel resume fighting Hamas after ceasefire violations? | 63% Yes, 25% No, 12% Don’t know | |
| Who leads Gaza war decisions – U.S. or Israel? | 67% U.S., 24% Israel | |
| “Has Israel become a U.S. protectorate?” | 69% Agree (23% strongly), 31% Disagree | |
| Maagar Mochot (Ch13) | Should Israel resume fighting Hamas? | 53% Yes, 31% No (maintain ceasefire) |
| “Has Israel become a U.S. protectorate?” | 49% Agree, 35% Disagree | |
| Only IDF veterans should be allowed to vote? | 41% Support, 49% Oppose | |
| Support for new draft exemption law | 27% Support, 59% Oppose | |
| Who should investigate October 7 failures? | 45% State commission, 25% bipartisan, 16% government-appointed | |
| Panels (Maariv) | Support for new draft law | 27% Support, 43% Oppose, 30% Don’t know |
| Should opposition join Netanyahu if no alternative majority? | 46% Yes, 37% No (boycott), 17% Don’t know | |
| Support splitting Attorney General’s role | 39% Support, 30% Oppose, 31% No opinion | |
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 