I was called up to reserve duty again so I will have to post the analysis next week.
For now – here are the weekly polls with some raw data.

Stats

Poll #	Pollster / Researcher	Ordered by	Date(s)	Sample Size	Margin of Error
1	Lazar + Panels	Walla	Sep 8, 2025	504	±4.3%
2	Takiata	Zman Israel	Sep 9–10, 2025	404	4.8%
3	Filber	Channel 14	Aug 28, 2025	524	Not stated
4	Mano Geva (Midgam)	Channel 12	Sep 11, 2025	500	±4.4%
5	Lazar + Panels	Maariv	Sep 10–11, 2025	506	±4.4%

Baseline Polls

Party	Lazar	Takiata (w/Reservists	Filber	Geva	Geva (w/Reservists	Lazar
Likud	26	24	34	25	24	24
Bennett	23	20	14	19	18	23
Yisrael Beiteinu	11	11	8	11	10	10
Shas	10	9	10	9	9	8
Democrats	10	9	12	11	11	11
Eisenkot	8	7	–	11	9	9
Yesh Atid	8	6	8	9	8	7
Otzma Yehudit	7	7	7	7	7	7
United Torah Judaism	7	7	8	8	8	7
Hadash-Ta’al	5	5	5	5	5	5
Ra’am	5	6	5	5	5	5
Reservists	–	5	–	–	6	–
Blue & White	Below	4	4	1.4%	1.3%	2.4%
Religious Zionism	Below	Below	5	2.4%	2.1%	2.6%
Balad	Below	Below	2.3%	2.2%	2.2%	2.1%
Bennett Bloc	60	62	46	51	62	60
Netanyahu Bloc	50	47	64	49	48	50
Arab Bloc	10	11	10	10	10	10
Notes	RZ, Balad, Blue & White under	Balad & RZ under threshold	Balad under threshold	RZ, Balad, Blue & White under	Balad, RZ, Blue & White under	Balad, RZ, Blue & White under

Scenarios

Party	Lazar (Big Party)	Takiata (Big Party)	Takiata (Lapid+Eisenkot)	Takiata (Big Party)	Geva (Big Party)	Lazar (w/Yossi Cohen)
Likud	25	25	24	23	27	24
Bennett 2026	–	–	21	–	–	22
Bennett–Eisenkot–Liberman	37	37	–	–	37	–
Bennett–Eisenkot–Hendel	–	–	–	36	–	–
Lapid–Eisenkot	–	–	12	–	–	–
Shas	10	10	9	9	9	8
Democrats	10	9	9	8	13	12
Yisrael Beiteinu	–	–	11	10	–	9
Yesh Atid	8	7	12 (w/ Eisenkot)	5	9	7
Eisenkot	–	–	–	–	–	9
Otzma Yehudit	7	9	7	7	7	7
UTJ	8	7	7	7	8	7
Ra’am	5	6	6	6	5	5
Hadash-Ta’al	6	5	5	5	5	5
Blue & White	4	5	4	4	1.3%	2.8%
Reservists	–	Below	5	–	–	5
Yossi Cohen	–	–	–	–	–	2.4%
Balad	Below	Below	Below	Below	2.2%	1.8%
Religious Zionism	Below	Below	Below	Below	2.1%	2.6%
Bennett Bloc	60	58	62	63	59	64
Netanyahu Bloc	50	51	47	46	51	46
Arab Bloc	10	11	11	11	10	10
Notes	–	Hendel, Balad, RZ under	Balad, RZ under	Hendel, Balad, RZ under	Balad, RZ, Kahol Lavan under	Balad, RZ, Kahol Lavan, Yossi Cohen under

Additional Questions:

Poll #	Question	Results
Lazar	PM suitability: Netanyahu 37%, Bennett 21%, Eisenkot 9%, Lapid 6%, Liberman 5%	Among coalition voters: 90% Netanyahu; opposition voters: Bennett 41%, Eisenkot 16%, Lapid 12%, Liberman 10%
Lazar	Gaza: Should Israel withdraw fully from Gaza incl. perimeter to release all hostages?	47% Yes, 37% No, 16% Don’t know. Coalition voters: 75% No. Opposition voters: 67% Yes.
Filber	PM suitability (6 candidates): Netanyahu 47%, Bennett 21%, Eisenkot 18%, Liberman 8%, Lapid 4%, Gantz 2%	–
Geva	PM suitability matchups	Bennett 38% vs Netanyahu 34%; Netanyahu 38% vs Lapid 24%; Eisenkot 30% vs Netanyahu 36%
Geva	Qatar strike: Should Israel have struck Hamas leadership in Doha?	55% Yes, 28% No, 17% Don’t know. Impact on hostage talks: 49% say harms, 33% no impact, 17% Don’t know
Lazar	Qatar strike: Support operation?	75% Yes, 11% No, 14% Don’t know. Timing: 49% approve both action + timing, 26% approve action but not timing
Lazar	Impact on hostage deal chances	38% Harms, 37% Helps, 25% Don’t know

News Recap

• The political crisis continues, with Shas and UTJ still outside the government.
• Sep 2: A brief third special session plenum was held as Knesset silence ended.
• Sep 3: Most committees resumed work, including a hearing on the Haredi Draft Bill in the Defense & Foreign Affairs Committee.
• Sep 4: Eisenkot called on Gantz to drop out if he remains below the electoral threshold in the polls.

How It Played Out in the Polls

• Bennett remains the leading contender against Netanyahu in both Knesset seats and Prime Minister suitability.
• When running separately, Eisenkot, Cohen, and the Reservists generally act as spoilers, usually remaining in the single digits.
• Benny Gantz’s Blue & White party is at an all-time low for the 25th Knesset, reaching a maximum of four seats and failing to pass the electoral threshold in five of the 12 polls this week.
• Smotrich fails to pass the threshold in three polls, negatively affecting the Netanyahu bloc’s numbers.
• This week, both Lapid and Eisenkot fail to pass the threshold in one poll each.

What to Expect Next

• A fourth special session plenum is expected this week.
• Discussion on consolidation within the Bennett bloc may occur to avoid parties falling below the threshold.
• Increased scrutiny is expected on figures such as Cohen and Hendel (Reservists) regarding their positions on joining a potential Netanyahu government.

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Polling Data

Polls	Pollster / Commissioning Body	Broadcast / Publication	Sample Size	Margin of Error	Dates Conducted
Polls 1–4	Prof. Yitzhak Katz, Maagar Mochot	Channel 13 News	558	±4.1%	September 2, 2025
Polls 5A–5B	Direct Polls, Zuriel Sharon	i24NEWS	513	±4.4%	September 3, 2025
Poll 6	Tatika	Zman Israel	404	±4.8%	September 3, 2025
Polls 7A–7B	Midgam	Channel 12 News	500	±4.4%	September 4, 2025
Poll 8	Shlomo Filber	Channel 14	497	N/A	September 4, 2025
Polls 9A–9B	Lazar / Panels	Maariv	500	±4.4%	September 4, 2025

Maagar Mochot polls from earlier in the week are also in the previous post – https://knessetjeremy.com/2025/09/03/yossi-cohen-party-threatens-gantz-and-eisenkot-reshapes-coalition-math/)

Polls without Cohen/Reservists

Party/Alliance	Maagar Mochot	Maagar Mochot (Bennett-Eisenkot)	Maagar Mochot (Lapid-Eisenkot)	Midgam	Filber (No Eisenkot)	Lazar/Panels
Likud – Benjamin Netanyahu	22	22	22	24	34	25
“Bennett 2026” – Naftali Bennett	23	–	23	19	15	24
“Bennett 2026” + Gadi Eisenkot	–	30	–	–	–	–
Yisrael Beiteinu – Avigdor Lieberman	10	10	10	11	9	10
Shas – Aryeh Deri	10	10	10	8	11	9
The Democrats – Yair Golan	9	8	9	11	12	10
Yesh Atid – Yair Lapid	8	6	–	7	7	8
Yesh Atid + Gadi Eisenkot	–	–	11	–	–	–
New Party – Gadi Eisenkot	4	–	–	12	–	6
Otzma Yehudit – Itamar Ben Gvir	9	8	9	7	6	7
United Torah Judaism – Yitzhak Goldknopf	7	8	8	7	8	7
Ra’am – Mansour Abbas	5	5	5	5	5	5
Hadash-Ta’al – Ayman Odeh	5	5	5	5	5	5
Blue & White – Benny Gantz	4	4	4	(2.1%)	4	4
Religious Zionism – Bezalel Smotrich	4	4	4	4	4	(1.9%)
Balad – Sami Abu Shehadeh	(3%)	(3%)	(3%)	(2.3%)	(2.3%)	(1.9%)
Bennett Bloc	58	58	57	60	47	62
Netanyahu Bloc	52	52	53	50	63	48
Arab Bloc	10	10	10	10	10	10

Polls with Cohen/Reservists & Bennett-Lieberman-Eisenkot Scenario

Party/Alliance	Maagar Mochot (Yossi Cohen)	Direct Polls (Reservists)	Direct Polls (Reservists & Yossi Cohen)	Takiata (Reservists)	Midgam (Bennett-Liebeman-Eisenkot Party)	Lazar/Panels (Yossi Cohen)
Likud – Benjamin Netanyahu	21	30	27	26	25	24
“Bennett 2026” – Naftali Bennett	22	20	–	23	–	23
Bennett-Lieberman-Eisenkot	–	–	33	–	–	–
Bennett-Lieberman	–	–	–	–	30	–
Yisrael Beiteinu – Avigdor Lieberman	10	11	–	10	–	9
The Democrats – Yair Golan	9	10	9	11	11	10
Shas – Aryeh Deri	10	10	11	9	8	9
United Torah Judaism – Yitzhak Goldknopf	8	8	8	7	7	7
Otzma Yehudit – Itamar Ben Gvir	11	6	7	7	7	7
New Party – Gadi Eisenkot	(3%)	–	–	–	10	5
Reservists	–	6	5	6	–	–
New Party – Yossi Cohen	8	–	4	–	–	4
Ra’am – Mansour Abbas	5	5	6	6	5	5
Hadash-Ta’al – Ayman Odeh	5	5	5	4	5	5
Yesh Atid – Yair Lapid	7	4	(3%)	7	8	8
Religious Zionism – Bezalel Smotrich	4	5	5	(N/A)	4	(1.9%)
Blue & White – Benny Gantz	(3%)	(2.4%)	(1.9%)	4	(2.3%)	4
Balad – Sami Abu Shehadeh	(3%)	(2.8%)	(2.8%)	(N/A)	(2.3%)	(1.8%)
Bennett Bloc	56	51	51	61	59	63
Netanyahu Bloc	54	59	58	49	51	47
Arab Bloc	10	10	11	10	10	10

Additional Questions (Additional Questions from earlier in the week are in the previous post – https://knessetjeremy.com/2025/09/03/yossi-cohen-party-threatens-gantz-and-eisenkot-reshapes-coalition-math/)

Poll / Source	Question	Response	Percentage
Direct Polls	Who do you think is most suitable to be Prime Minister?	Benjamin Netanyahu	48%
		Naftali Bennett	39%
		Don’t know	13%
Direct Polls	Who do you think is most suitable to be Prime Minister?	Benjamin Netanyahu	48%
		Gadi Eizenkot	36%
		Don’t know	16%
Midgam	What should Israel do now in the Gaza conflict?	Approve partial hostage deal, stop military operation	47%
		Continue military operation, no deal	39%
		Don’t know	14%
Midgam	Should there be a State Committee to investigate October 7 failures?	State Committee led by Supreme Court President	61%
		Government committee appointed by Netanyahu	25%
		Don’t know	14%
Filber	Who among six individuals is most suitable to be Prime Minister?	Benjamin Netanyahu	48%
		Naftali Bennett	21%
		Gadi Eizenkot	18%
		Avigdor Lieberman	6%
		Yair Lapid	5%
		Benny Gantz	2%
Lazar/Panels	Do you support holding elections on two separate ballots: one for Prime Minister, one for Knesset?	Support	39%
		Oppose	27%
		Don’t know	34%

Bennett 2026 leads Netanyahu in all four scenarios. Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas are tied for third place in three of the four scenarios. The poll indicates that if Bennett and Eisenkot join forces, they would gain three additional seats, two from Lapid and one from Golan. Conversely, if Lapid and Eisenkot form a joint list, they would lose one seat to the coalition. A Yossi Cohen party would push both Eisenkot and Gantz below the electoral threshold, while giving the coalition an additional two seats.

The poll was commissioned by Channel 13 News and conducted under the direction of Prof. Yitzhak Katz from Maagar Mochot. It was carried out on September 2, 2025, with a total of 558 respondents and a margin of error of ±4.1% at a 95% confidence level.

Various Scenarios

Party	Q1: Eisenkot New Party	Q2: Bennett + Eisenkot	Q3: Lapid + Eisenkot	Q4: Yossi Cohen New Party
“Bennett 2026” – Naftali Bennett	23	–	23	22
“Bennett 2026” + Gadi Eisenkot	–	30	–	–
Likud – Benjamin Netanyahu	22	22	22	21
Yesh Atid + Gadi Eisenkot	–	–	11	–
Yesh Atid – Yair Lapid	8	6	–	7
Shas – Aryeh Deri	10	10	10	10
Yisrael Beiteinu – Avigdor Lieberman	10	10	10	10
Otzma Yehudit – Itamar Ben Gvir	9	8	9	11
The Democrats – Yair Golan	9	8	9	9
United Torah Judaism – Yitzhak Goldknopf	7	8	8	8
Blue & White – Benny Gantz	4	4	4	(3)
Religious Zionism – Bezalel Smotrich	4	4	4	4
New Party – Gadi Eisenkot	4	–	–	(3)
New Party – Yossi Cohen	–	–	–	8
Ra’am – Mansour Abbas	5	5	5	5
Hadash-Ta’al – Ayman Odeh	5	5	5	5
Balad – Sami Abu Shehadeh	(3)	(3)	(3)	(3)
Bennett Bloc	58	58	57	56
Netanyahu Bloc	52	52	53	54
Arab Bloc	10	10	10	10

Additional Questions

Question	Response	%
Q5: Conquer Gaza or partial hostage deal?	Conquer Gaza	39
	Partial deal	45
	Don’t know	16
Q6: Who is right in the dispute – Chief of Staff or PM Netanyahu & cabinet?	Chief of Staff	41
	PM Netanyahu & cabinet ministers	28
	Don’t know	31
Q7: Should Chief of Staff resign?	Yes	13
	No	57
	Don’t know	30
Q8: Who should investigate the war failures?	State Commission of Inquiry – Supreme Court judge	53
	State Comptroller	22
	Don’t know	25
Q9: Should the government comply with Supreme Court’s recommendation?	Yes	48
	No	34
	Don’t know	18