Geocartography conducted a poll for Radio Kol Chai that was broadcast by on May 29 2016.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [30] Likud
21 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
70 [67] Right-Religious
50 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Key Note #1: Only about 70% of UTJ voters defined themselves as Haredi (ultra-orthodox)
Key Note #2: Bayit Yehudi jumps to 14 seats from the 8 seats in last Geocartography poll that was conducted less than two weeks ago.
Key Note #3: I do think this is most likely an outlier poll in terms of totals but the trends are in line with the other leading polling companies.
somebody screwed up the excel file …
I suggest reading my note #3.
Smith gave UTJ 8 seats on Friday, their 19-Poll-AVG is 7.1.
Shas’s 19-Poll AVG is 6.4 & their montly avg is 5.7.
Not that off…
I’m no big fan of Dagani and I’ve ranked his polls last among the leading companies.
However, if you switch 2 UTJ seats for Shas seats you are pretty much at the average and that would still be a movement within the bloc and within the margin of error.
What groups did the non-chareidi voters belong to?
Spread out between national religious, traditional and even secular.
It seems Litzman’s position as the most popular minister is somehow making a difference (at least in this poll).