Dialog conducted a scenario poll creating a new party list of Kahlon, Saar and Ashkenazi without deciding who would be the leader of the list and read the three names in a random order to each person. They asked 504 people that resulted in a 4.4% margin of error. Haaretz published the poll on March 24 2016

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [10] New Kahlon+Saar+Ashkenazi List

22 [30] Likud

15 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [11] Yesh Atid

10 [08] Bayit Yehudi

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

05 [05] Meretz

 

51 [57] Right-Religious

46 [53] Center-Left-Arab

23 [10] New Party

  • Note: This means that the fictional party would take seven seats from the center-left bloc and six seats from the right-religious bloc.

 

Dialog also conducted a regular poll that was not published by Haaretz, although Haaretz did cite Likud, Yesh Atid, Zionist Union and Kulanu’s numbers including the significant movement in Bayit Yehudi and Yisrael Beitenu’s numbers.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

05 [05] Meretz

 

67 [57] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

  • Note: Lapid’s  decline in the scenario poll presents us with the information there is a significant number of people who will vote for whoever has the best chance to defeat Netanyahu and they do not seem to be loyal.
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