Panels conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Jerusalem Post and Maariv that was published on Feb 19 2016
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
69 [67] Right-Religious
51 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Additional Questions:
Do you believe reports about Sara Netanyahu’s problematic behavior?
62% Yes, 20% Don’t know, 18% No
Will such behavior harm the prime minister’s ability to do his job?
66% Yes, 23% No, 11% Don’t know
Does Sara Netanyahu’s behavior did not harm their opinion of her husband?
50% No, 44% Yes, 6% Don’t know
Likud voters: Only 19% said yes.
Do you believe the reports about Sara Netanyahu?
46% No, 33% Yes, 21% Don’t know
How do you dare to include Kulanu in the right-religious bloc ? And do you really think Liberman could sit with Agudat Israel in the same coalition ? Why dont you make a separate account: right-reliious / left / center (indlucing kulanu, yesh atid and Liberman) ?
How dare I? You must be new to this site.
I’ve been tracking Knesset seats with two blocs since 2010 where I examine in one of them the probable Phase 2 numbers for a Netanyahu re-election. I correctly predicted which parties would recommend Netanyahu in the 2013 and 2015 elections. I maintain that the only way Netanyahu does not receive a 5th term is if the four anti-Netanyahu parties (Yesh Atid/Zionist Union/Meretz/Joint Arab List) get 61 or more seats.
I highly doubt Kulanu runs alone in the next election. I could see Kahlon joining either Netanyahu or Lapid depending on the circumstances. If he joins Lapid I will update the blocs but I think he joins Likud. We know Likud & Kulanu talked about a joint list before the last election and that there have been talks during the term of a merger as confirmed by Kulanu’s Faction Chairman. Of course nothing will happen before the next election is announced anyways.
Liberman has sat with the Charedim many times before, so, yes I think he could again. They actually worked quite well together in Netanyahu’s second term (2009-2013). Liberman has a track record of working well with the entire political spectrum except Meretz & the Arabs. Take a look at his track record as running on a joint list with the National Union as well as joining Olmert’s government.