A poll conducted by statnet of 654 people with a margin of error of 4.4% on Jan 21st 2016 was broadcast by Channel 10. Additional scenario polls were taken as well.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

16 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union

14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

71 [67] Right-Religious

49 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #1: If Ashkenazi led Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union led by Ashkenazi

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #2: If Ashkenazi is #2 in Yesh Atid

26 [30] Likud

19 [11] Yesh Atid led by Lapid & Ashkenazi

14 [24] Zionist Union led by Herzog & Livni

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

05 [05] Meretz

69 [67] Right-Religious

51 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #3: Merger of Yesh Atid (Lapid), Kulanu (Kahlon) and Ashkenazi into one big center party.

29 [21] New Yesh Atid-Kulanu-Ashkenazi Party

24 [30] Likud

13 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

05 [05] Meretz

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 11% Bennett, 11% Liberman, 9% Ashkenazi, 9% Herzog, 19% none.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If Ashkenazi enters politics it has a one to two seat change on the blocs. Regardless the Anti-Netanyahu alliance of Yesh Atid-Zionist Union-Meretz-Joint List fails to get close to forming a bloc large enough to block Netanyahu in a stage 2 situation by the President residence.

In the unlikely scenario of a mega-Lapid-Kahlon-Ashkenazi-party, the party would still fall short of a coalition even after signing coalition agreements with Zionist Union, Meretz and Yisrael Beitenu. The likelihood of the 50-seat-bloc of Likud and the religious parties joining a coalition with Lapid would be extremely low and the Arab parties are against joining any Zionist government.

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