Panels conducted a poll that was taken out for Maariv/Jerusalem Post and was released on Feb 19 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [20] Zionist Union (Labor-Livni)
22 [18] Likud
13 [11] Bayit Yehudi
12 [20] Yesh Atid
12 [11] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [02] Koolanu (Kahlon+Kadima)
07 [10] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Meretz
05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [02] Yachad (Yishai+Chetboun+Marzel)
66 [63] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out nominating a BB coalition)
54 [57] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out nominating a BB coalition)
I wonder what the reason is for the sudden jump in ZU votes. If elections turned out like this poll Herzog could make a coalition of 62 seats which would consist of ZU-Meretz-Yesh Atid- JAL-Kulanu. He can also make a coalition of the Haredi parties would join a coalition that had Yesh Atid and Meretz, which is possible.
Looks like Likud’s sliding.
Could just be a reversion to the mean and some random noise. Likud had a bump last week, but not one really outside the margin of the error of these polls. Random noise could have been working in their favour earlier and against them now.
This election is starting to get exciting. It is not only the Likud slipping it is the whole right (Netanyahu) bloc (Likud+BY+Yachad). They are now down to 39 whilst the left and centre (Herzog+Meret+YA) are up to 42.
It’s difficult to find educated people on this subject, however, you sound like you
know what you’re talking about! Thanks