Maagar Mochot conducted a scenario poll of 513 people on Dec 30-31 2014 that was published by Maakor Rishon on Jan 2nd 2015.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [21] Labor-Livni

23 [18] Likud

20 [19] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ, Shas & Ha’am Itanu

15 [11] Bayit Yehudi

09 [11] *United Arab List (6 Hadash, 5 others)

08 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [00] Koolanu (Kahlon)

06 [06] Meretz

0.5 [02] Kadima

0.5 [00] Strong Israel

 

72.5 [61] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

47.5 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

Additional Questions:

What is causing the dramatic drop of Shas in the polls?

36% Lack of spiritual leader like Rav Ovadia Yosef (68% among Shas voters), 34% Other reasons, 18% Deri’s leadership, 12% Yishai’s departure

Question for Shas voters of 2013: Who will you vote for in this election?

62% Shas, 20% Different party, 15% Yishai Party, 3% Koolanu, 0% UTJ

 

* Poll without Haredi party together was also conducted but was not published. with very similar results.

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