Archive for December, 2014


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #1 (week of Nov 30-Dec 6 2014) of 12 polls from 9 polling companies (3 Maagar Mochot, 2 Dialog, 1 Panels, 1 Smith, 1 Midgam, 1 Teleseker, 1 New Wave, 1 Geocartography, 1 Sarid):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

1st 23.6 [18] Likud

2nd 16.6 [12] Bayit Yehudi

3rd 13.4 [15] Labor

4th 11.0 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

5th 09.9 [–] New Kachlon Party

6th 09.8 [19] Yesh Atid

7th 07.8 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

8th 07.6 [11] Shas

9th 06.8 [06] Meretz

10th 3.4 [06] Movement

11th ?.? [04] Hadash

12th ?.? [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

13th ?.? [03] Balad

14th .01 [02] Kadima

 

76.4 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

43.6 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Party Breakdown

1st: Likud: High – 30 (Dec 3 Geocarteography), Low – 21 (Dec 5 Panels & Maagar Mochot)
2nd: Bayit Yehudi: High – 18 (Dec 5 Panels & Maagar Mochot), Low – 15 (Dec 5 Maagar Mochot)
3rd: Labor: High – 17 (Dec 3 Sarid), Low – 12 (3 different polls)
4th: Yisrael Beitenu: High – 14 (Dec 3 Geocarteography), Low – 9 (Dec 5 Panels & Maagar Mochot)
5th: Kachlon: High – 13 (Dec 5 New Wave), Low – 5 (Dec 3 Sarid)
6th: Yesh Atid: High – 11 (5 polls), Low-  7 (Dec 3 Geocarteography)
7th: UTJ: High – 8 (9 polls), Low – 7 (3 polls)
8th: Shas: High – 9 (3 polls), Low – 6 (Nov 30 Dialog)
9th: Meretz: High – 8 (Dec 5 Panels & Maagar Mochot), Low – 5 (Dec 3 Teleseker)

Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition): High – 84 (Dec 3 Geocarteography), Low – 70 (Dec 3 Sarid)
Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition): High – 50 (Dec 3 Sarid), Low – 36 (Dec 3 Geocarteography)

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people that was  broadcast by Channel 2 on Dec 6 2014.

Are the following list of people suited to be Prime Minister?

Suited: 46% Netanyahu, 33% Bennett, 32% Herzog, 26% Kachlon, 23% Liberman, 20% Lapid

Do you want to see Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister?

65% No, 30% Yes, 5% Refuse to answer

Will you vote in next elections?

71% Yes, 24% Probably, 3% Probably not, 1% No, 1% Don’t know

Will you support the party you supported in last elections?

39% Loyal supporters, 27% Could change my mind, 17% On the fence, 6% Voting for someone else, 11% Don’t know

 

Panels conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 2 on Dec 4 2014.

In the next elections you will vote for the party that advances what agenda?

38% Lowering cost of living, 26% Security Issues, 14% Reducing the gaps, 13% Peace agreement, 9% Don’t know

Do you plan on voting in the next elections?

74% Yes, 16% Think so, 3% Probably not, 1% No, 6% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was broadcast by Galay Yisrael Radio on Dec 5 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [18] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

14 [15] Labor

11 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [–] New Kachlon Party

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

05 [04] Hadash

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

 

74 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

46 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was published by Makor Rishon & NRG on Dec 5 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [18] Likud

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [15] Labor

13 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [–] New Kachlon Party

09 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

04 [06] Movement

10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

01 [02] Kadima

 

77 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

43 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Additional Questions:

Should we dissolve the Knesset and head to early elections?

64% No, 28% Yes, 8% Don’t know

Which politician is to blame for early elections?

38% Netanyahu, 24% Lapid, 8% Liberman, 6% Livni, 3% Bennett, 21% Other

Do you plan on voting in the next elections?

69% For sure, 14% Probably, 4% Probably not, 6% No, 7% Don’t know

Are you for having Haredi parties in the coalition?

50% No, 34% Yes, 16% Other answers