Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Sunday January 28th 2018.
| Place | Party | Leader | Seats | KnessetJeremy AVG | Change | Week 3-4 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Likud | Netanyahu | 29 | 29.3 | -2.2 | 31.5 | 30 |
| 2nd | Israel Resilience | Gantz | 14 | 14.3 | 2 | 12.3 | 0 |
| 3rd | Yesh Atid | Lapid | 12 | 12.3 | -0.7 | 13 | 11 |
| 4th | Labor | Gabbai | 9 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 18 |
| 5th | HaYamin HeHadash | Bennett | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 6th | Joint List | Odeh | 6 | 6 | n/a | 11.3 | 12 |
| 7th | Taal | Tibi | 6 | 6 | n/a | n/a | 1 |
| 8th | UTJ | Litzman | 7 | 6.7 | -0.1 | 6.8 | 6 |
| 9th | Shas | Deri | 5 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 5 | 7 |
| 10th | Meretz | Zandberg | 5 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 5.2 | 5 |
| 11th | Kulanu | Kahlon | 5 | 4.7 | -0.3 | 5 | 10 |
| 12th | Yisrael Beitenu | Liberman | 5 | 4.7 | 0 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 13th | Gesher | Levy | 5 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 14th | Bayit Yehudi | ? | 4 | 4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 5 |
| 15th | Livni | Livni | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 6 |
| 16th | Other | Others | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| x | Right-Religious | x | 63 | 62.7 | -1.1 | 63.8 | 66 |
| x | Center-Left-Arab | x | 57 | 57.3 | 1.1 | 56.2 | 54 |
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Note #2: Taal was polled together with The Joint List in one of the polls so I split their result evenly for the average. This is the first week where the two lists are being averaged separately.
Note #3: This week’s average is based on the three polls that were conducted during week five (Midgam, Direct Polls and Teleseker).
Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/
Note #5: The official candidate lists will be submitted on Feb 20-21 2019.
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 