Important Note #1: KnessetJeremy.com celebrated our 9th anniversary this week.
Important Note #2: The deadline for publishing polls is on Friday. The final polling average and prediction will be released on that date.
Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Sunday March 30th 2019.
| Place | Party | Leader | Seats | KnessetJeremy AVG | Change | Week 13 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Blue & White | Gantz | 31 | 30.5 | 0.2 | 30.3 | 11 |
| 2nd | Likud | Netanyahu | 29 | 28.7 | -0.3 | 29 | 29 |
| 3rd | Labor | Gabbai | 10 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 9 | 18 |
| 4th | Hadash-Taal | Odeh | 8 | 7.2 | -0.4 | 7.6 | 6 |
| 5th | United Torah Judaism | Litzman | 7 | 6.6 | 0 | 6.6 | 6 |
| 6th | United Right List | Peretz | 7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 7th | HaYamin HeHadash | Bennett | 6 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 8th | Shas | Deri | 6 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 7 |
| 9th | Meretz | Zandberg | 6 | 5.1 | -0.3 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 10th | Zehut | Feiglin | 6 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 0 |
| 11th | Kulanu | Kahlon | 4 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 10 |
| 12th | Raam-Balad | Abbas | 0 | 2.9 | 0 | 2.9 | 7 |
| 13th | Yisrael Beitenu | Liberman | 0 | 2.5 | -1.2 | 3.7 | 5 |
| 14th | Other | 28 Others | 0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Right-Religious Bloc | 65 | 64.4 | 0.1 | 64.3 | 66 | ||
| Center-Left-Arab Bloc | 55 | 55.6 | -0.1 | 55.7 | 54 |
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Note #2: This average is based on the last 10 polls that were released from March 24 to March 30 (3 Midgam, 2 Panel Project HaMidgam, Panels, Smith, Maagar Mochot, Teleseker & Direct Polls).
Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/
Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Meretz, B) HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & United Right List, D) Shas & UTJ & E) Hadash-Taal & Raam-Balad.
Note #5: Kulanu passed the electoral threshold in 9 of 10 polls this week. Raam Balad passed in 7 polls, Yisrael Beitenu passed in 6 polls and Gesher passed in 2 polls this week.
Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Shas-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu-Zehut is polling at a high of 68 and a low of 59. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad & Gesher when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 61 and a low of 52.
Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 6 parties have withdrawn to date.
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
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