Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a margin of error of 4.5% for the Jerusalem Post that was published on June 2 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

19 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [10] Kulanu

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll: New Party of Yaalon+Saar+Ashkenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

22 [10] New Party (Yaalon, Saar, Ashkenazi)

22 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [11] Yesh Atid

10 [24] Zionist Union

10 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [07] Shas

05 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

80 [67] Right-Religious

40 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Additional Question

Are you satisfied with Netanyahu’s performance?

64% No, 36% Yes

(34% Completely unsatisfied, 30% Somewhat unsatisfied, 30% Somewhat satisfied, 6% Very satisfied)

Note 1:  These Smith poll numbers are all within one seat of the previous Smith poll numbers from last week and the 67-53 remains the same.

Note 2: Smith’s scenario poll of last week had better results for a Yaalon+Saar+Kahlon party than the Yaalon+Saar+Ashkenazi party of this week. The addition of Ashkenazi to a new center-right party decreases the center-left-Arab bloc by an additional two seats compared to Smith’s previous scenario poll.

Note 3: 88% of Kulanu voters were unsatisfied.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jun 2 2016

Are you pleased or not pleased with the government in its new form?

58% No, 31% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Do you think the new government will last until the end of the term?

45% No, 44% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Do you trust Avigdor Liberman as Defense Minister?

56% No, 35% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Do you agree with Liberman’s statement that the unity of the nation is more important than the unity of the land?

58% Yes, 31% No, 11% Don’t know

How did Bennett’s battle over the Security Cabinet change your opinion of him?

General Public: 54% No change in opinion, 21% Now hold in higher regard, 13% Now hold in lower regard

Bayit Yehudi Voters: 58% Now hold in higher regard, 29% No change in opinion, 4% Now hold in lower regard

Do you agree with the government decision to boycott the Paris Conference?

38% Yes, 33% No, 29% Don’t know

Should Israel ignore the decisions that come out of the Paris Conference?

40% Yes, 32% No, 28% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 505 Jewish & Arab citizens with a 4.3% margin of error for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on May 30 2016

Should Minister Kahlon follow Avi Gabai and leave the government?

45% No, 30% Yes, 25% Don’t know

If Kahlon does resign, what will you think of him?

30% Will increase my opinion of him, 30% Will decrease my opinion of him, 29% Won’t change my opinion of him, 11% Don’t know

What grade to you give Kahlon for his conduct as Finance Minister?

41% Average, 31% Good, 20% Bad, 8% Don’t know

Can you name Minister Kahlon achievements?

68% No, 19% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Is Minister Kahlon a social “chevrati” leader?

46% No, 39%, Yes 15%, Don’t know

If the elections were today, would you consider voting for Moshe Kahlon?

General Public: 72% No, 18% Don’t know, 10% Yes

Kulanu voters: 41% Yes, 30% Don’t know, 29% No

Those who answered no – Why did you answer no?

47% I support a different party, 30% Kahlon has disappointed as Finance Minister, 9% His diplomatic views, 8% Gas deal, 6% Don’t know

Do you think Minister Kahlon should join a party of disappointed Netanyahu figures when it is founded?

General Public: 40% No, 38% Yes, 22% Don’t know

Kulanu voters: 56% Yes, 26% No, 18% Don’t know

Who is the leading social “chevrati” figure in Israeli politics?

24% Orly Levy, 19% None of the above, 14% Miri Regev, 12% Shelly Yachimovich, 8% Don’t know, 7% Moshe Kahlon, 5% Amir Peretz, 4% Itzick Shmueli, 4% Stav Shapir, 3% Dov Khenin

Geocartography conducted a poll for Radio Kol Chai that was broadcast by on May 29 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

21 [11] Yesh Atid

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [24] Zionist Union

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [05] Meretz

07 [10] Kulanu

04 [07] Shas

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Key Note #1: Only about 70% of UTJ voters defined themselves as Haredi (ultra-orthodox)

Key Note #2: Bayit Yehudi jumps to 14 seats from the 8 seats in last Geocartography poll that was conducted less than two weeks ago.

Key Note #3: I do think this is most likely an outlier poll in terms of totals but the trends are in line with the other leading polling companies.

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on May 26 2016.

Do you think that now that the coalition includes Yisrael Beitenu that it is more stable or less stable than before Yisrael Beitenu joined it?

44% Coalition is now more stable, 23% Stability of coalition has not changed, 18% Coalition is now less stable, 15% Don’t know

Do you think that the Prime Minister should keep acting towards expanding the coalition even further?

45% No, 32% Yes, 23% Don’t know

Those who answered “Yes”: – Which Party would you like to see in the coalition?

53% Yesh Atid, 30% Zionist Union, 17% Don’t know

Do you think that the Zionist Union will eventually join the current coalition that includes Yisrael Beitenu?

70% No, 18% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Do you think that the Yesh Atid Party will eventually join the current coalition that includes Yisrael Beitenu?

62% No, 20% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Is Bennett correct in demanding changes in the Security Cabinet?

49% Correct, 32% Don’t know, 19% Not Correct

Should Bennett remain stubborn, not give up, even at the price of bringing down the coalition?

50% No, 27% Don’t know, 23% Yes

Do you think that the government in its extended current form will advance a diplomatic process?

61% No, 26% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Zionist Union Voters: If the primaries were conducted today for the Leadership of the Labor Party, and you had a chance to take part, who would you choose?

24% Yachmovich, 21% Margalit, 15% Herzog, 13% Peretz, 5% Bar-Lev, 22% Someone else/Don’t know

Would you vote for a party that is led by Gideon Saar, Moshe Yaalon and Orly Levy?

37% For sure not, 28% Probably not, 16% Probably, 14% Don’t know, 5% For sure