Tag Archive: politics


Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Oct 29 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [31] Likud Beitenu

17 [15] Labor

17 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [06] Meretz

10 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

65 [61] Right-Religious

55 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis:

The first poll following municipal elections: Likud Beitenu maintains their spot at the top of the polls. Labor continues to fail achieving a bump from their primary elections. Bayit Yehudi surprises with a tie for second place at 17 seats, their best showing in months. Yesh Atid and Meretz tie for 4th which is bad for Yesh Atid, yet good for Meretz. Shas maintains double digits despite key municipal losses. Kadima fails to pass 2% electoral threshold. Bottom Line: The “right-religious block” increases from 61 to 65.

Panels also conducted a poll of Shas voters:

Who should lead Shas? 56% Yishai 32% Deri
Following Jerusalem loss should Deri resign? 42% Yes 40% No
Has Deri become a burden on Shas? 42% Yes 28% No

Dialogue conducted a poll that was published by Haaretz on Oct 18 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [31] Likud Beitenu

17 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [06] Mertez

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

02 [02] Kadima

63 [61] Right-Religious

57 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Polled: 501 people.
Margin of error: 4.4%.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis:

Likud Beitenu maintains their spot at the top of the polls. Labor is not enjoying the bump it is used to during primary elections. Bayit Yehudi is steady. Meretz moves into the 4th spot. Yesh Atid decline continues and they drop to a tie for 5th. Shas remains steady with no bump or decline in the first poll following the passing of their spiritual leader. Kadima passes the current 2% threshold. Recent increase in terrorist attacks could be responsible for modest gain of the “right-religious block’ from 61 to 63.

Knesset winter session preview and more poll analysis: http://jeremysaltan.com/2013/10/18/preview-of-knesset-winter-session/

Galey Yisrael Radio (Yishai Fleisher Show): October 1, 2013.

For the second segment, our Knesset insider Jeremy Man Saltan joins Yishai to talk about current negotiations, the situation regarding the Temple Mount, upcoming Jerusalem elections, and the health of Rabbi Ovadia Yosef.

Radio Link: http://yishaifleisher.com/radio/radio-knesset-update-and-the-situation-on-the-temple-mount/

Jewish Press Radio: http://www.jewishpress.com/tv/radio/knesset-update-and-the-situation-on-the-temple-mount/2013/10/03/

Jewish Press Excerpt: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/yishai-and-jeremy-discuss-recent-events/2013/10/03/

Personal Website: http://jeremysaltan.com/

Panels conducted a poll broadcast on June 20 2013 by Channel 99.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [31] Likud Beitenu
20 [15] Labor
17 [19] Yesh Atid
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
09 [11] Shas
09 [06] Mertez
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Kadima
03 [06] Movement
03 [00] Strong Israel

58 [61] Right-Religious
61 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Note: Poll come out to 119 seats instead of 120

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Six parties polling in at three seats which would be under the electoral threshold if the threshold is raised.

Report: Probable look at Netanyahu government, his 21 ministers and 8 deputy ministers.

 

Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud) Prime Minister , Minister of Foreign Affairs

 

Moshe Ya`alon (Likud) Minister of Defense

Yair Lapid (Yesh Atid) Minister of Finance

Naftali Bennett (Bayit Yehudi) Minister of Economy, Industry, Trade, and Labor, Minister of Religious Services, Minister of Diaspora Affairs and Jerusalem

 

Tzipi Livni (Livni Party) Minister of Justice

Gideon Sa`ar (Likud) Minister of Internal Affairs

Shai Piron (Yesh Atid) Minister of Education

 

Yitzhak Aharonovitch (Yisrael Beitenu) Minister of Internal Security

Uri Ariel (Bayit Yehudi) Minister of Housing and Construction

Yael German  (Yesh Atid) Minister of Health

 

Uzi Landau (Yisrael Beitenu) Minister of Tourism

Yisrael Katz (Likud) Minister of Transportation, National Infrastructure, and Road Safety

Gilad Erdan (Likud) Minister of Communications and Minister of Home Front Defence

Yaakov Perry (Yesh Atid) Minister of Science and Technology

Limor Livnat (Likud) Minister of Culture and Sport

 

Yair Shamir (Yisrael Beitenu) Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development

Meir Cohen (Yesh Atid) Minister of Welfare and Social Services

Uri Orbach (Bayit Yehudi) Minister for Senior Citizens

Amir Peretz (Livni Party) Minister of Environmental Protection

Sofa Landver (Yisrael Beitenu) Minister of Immigrant Absorption

 

** Silvan Shalom (Likud) Minister of Energy and Water, Minister of the Development of the Negev and Galil, (possibly Minister of Regional Cooperation)

** Yuval Steinitz (Likud) Minister of Intelligence and Atomic Energy and Minister of Strategic Affairs

 

** = Pending

 

Reported Defense Ministers:

Deputy Defense Danon (Likud)

Deputy Foreign Elkin (Likud)

Deputy Education Vortzman (Bayit Yehudi)

Deputy Religious Ben Dahan (Bayit Yehudi)

Deputy Welfare Minister Levy (Yesh Atid)

Deputy Minister Akunis (Likud)

+ 2 more

 

* I will update this page as thing change.

 

I’m looking forward to Monday, that is most likely the day we will swear in a new government. Coalition deals should be on Knesset table Sunday. There is a 24-hour period in between.