Tag Archive: politics


Knesset Channel Poll: Likud Beitenu 28, Labor 21, Bayit Yehudi 18, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 12 (Bennett up, Netanyahu down)

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 2 Comments
July 3, 2014

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel July 3rd 2014.
The poll was conducted from afternoon of July 2nd until the morning of July 3rd.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [31] Likud Beitenu

21 [15] Labor

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

03 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

60 [61] Right-Religious

60 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Bennett up, Netanyahu down. Prime Minister always goes down when he decides not to take action.

Additional Questions:

How should Israel react to Hamas in Gaza in response to murder of boys and escalation in the south?

62% Attack targets from the air
23% Ground attack in the strip
6% Restraint

Do you approve or not approve of the conduct of each one of the responsible factors during the events of the kidnapping?

Prime Minister Netanyahu: Approve 44%, Do not approve 51%
IDF (army): Approve 76%, Do not approve 19%
Shabak (shin bet): Approve 70%, Do not approve 21%
Police: Approve 13%, Do not approve 84%

Should an Investigative Committee be formed to investigate the conduct of the police surrounding the event of the boys abduction?

81% Yes, 14% No.

Should the Police Commishiner resign due to the conduct the police during the  event of the boys abduction?

39% Yes, 45% No.

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Presidential Elections

Filed under: Knesset, Other — 5 Comments
June 2, 2014

Israel’s President is elected by the 120 MKs but many polling companies have polled the public’s opinion anyways.

These are the results of the latest Panels Poll:

Reuven Rivlin 35%

Dan Shechtman 30%

Dalia Dorner 9%

Binyamin Ben-Eliezer 5%

Meir Sheetrit 4%

Dalia Itzik 4%

* Nominations:

The largest group was the 49 MKs that didn’t sign for anyone, that included coalition leaders Netanyahu, Lapid, Bennett & Liberman.

Rivlin received 16 signatures: 7 Likud, 5 BY, 2 YA, 1 Shas, 1 UTJ.
Ben-Eliezer’s 13 signatures: All of them from Labor.
Sheetrit’s 11 signatures: Livni 6, 4 YA, 1 Shas.
Itzik’s 11 signatures: 4 Arabs, 2 Meretz, 2 YA, 2 YB, 1 Shas.
Dorner’s 10: 5 YA, 2 Arabs, 2 Meretz, 1 Shas.
Shechtman’s 10: 2 Meretz, 2 YA, 2 BY, Likud 1, Shas 1, Kadima 1, Arabs 1.

KnessetJeremy Take:

* The race in my eyes is who will meet Rivlin in the second round. There have never been six candidates on the ballot before, it is possible that some will drop out. It seem certain that there will be a second round. The new law states that a simple majority of votes will win, previously you needed to go through as many rounds as possible until a candidate won 61 votes.

* I’ll note that most MKs don’t take Shechtman or Dorner seriously, in order to obtain the 10 signatures necessary to make the ballot they had MKs who are supporting other candidates sign their registration forms. If they remain in the race they will receive single digits.

* I think it is too early to determine who will end up going head-to-head with Rivlin. It will be either Ben-Eliezer, Sheetrit or Itzik.

Many people think it will be Ben-Eliezer, but I don’t see anti-Rivlin YB or YA MKs voting for him, he couldn’t even get 1 signature from any other non-Labor opposition MK.

Others think it will be Itzick, but the only way she got on the ballot was with the support of 4 Arab MKs, not exactly the largest Knesset power base.

The key will be the 19 Yesh Atid MKs. In the nomination process they gave their signatures for 5 candidates (Rivlin, Shitrit, Itzick, Schectman, Dorner). No YA MK signed for Fuad. Lapid didn’t sign for anyone.

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Globes/Smith Poll: Likud Beitenu 34, Labor 17, Yesh Atid 15, Bayit Yehudi 15, Shas 10

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 4 Comments
May 30, 2014

Smith conducted two polls that were published in Globes in May 30th.

The poll was conucted May 26-27 (before the Presidential Deadline and Rivlin endorsements by Bennett and Netanyahu).

The first poll was with the 12 Knesset factions as they are today.

The second poll was a scenario poll with a Kachalon Party, and Likud running separate from Yisrael Beitenu.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

17 [15] Labor

15 [19] Yesh Atid

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

09 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [04] Hadash

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

67 [61] Right-Religious

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [20] Likud

15 [15] Labor

14 [–] Kachalon

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [11] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [04] Hadash

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

73 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon

47 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If you consider Kachalon right wing (or at least more right over Lapid) he brings 6 additional seats over to the right-religious block. Livni is not able to pass the new threshold in either poll.

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Smith poll: Likud Beitenu 35, Labor 19, Yesh Atid 14, Bayit Yehudi 12, Livni 0

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 4 Comments
May 4, 2014

Smith conducted a poll that was published in Globes on May 1st.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

10 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [04] Hadash

04 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

65 [61] Right-Religious

55 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu remains at the top. Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad all pass the new threshold but Livni’s party does not.

Which candidate is suitable to be the next Prime Minister?

36% none of the above, 32% Netanyahu, 13% Herzog, 8% Liberman, 6% Kachalon, 5% Lapid

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Channel 10 Poll: Likud Beitenu 30, Labor 16, Kachalon 12, Bayit Yehudi 11, Yesh Atid 10

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 11 Comments
April 17, 2014

Midgam conducted two polls broadcast by Channel 10 on April 17 2014.

The first poll added Kachalon as an option, has Likud & Beitenu running together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [–] Kachalon Party

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

01 [02] Kadima

58 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

The second poll ran Kachalon & Beitenu together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [11] Yisrael Beitenu + Kachalon

19 [20] Likud

18 [15] Labor

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [04] Hadash

03 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

70 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

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