Tag Archive: politics


Panels conducted a poll of 534 people with a margin of error of 4.3% for Maariv that was first published their sister paper the Jerusalem Post on Dec 26 2014. In addition a scenario poll was taken if the Arab lists run together as one bloc.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [21] Labor-Livni

23 [18] Likud

17 [11] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [11] *United Arab List (5 Hadash, 6 Ra’am-Ta’al, 0 Balad)

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

04 [10] Shas

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)

00 [02] Kadima

 

67 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

*I will list Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together as “United Arab List” & give separate results in (brackets) until they complete merger.

Scenario Poll: United Arab Ticket

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [21] Labor-Livni

24 [18] Likud

18 [11] Bayit Yehudi

13 [11] United Arab List

11 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

06 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Meretz

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)

00 [10] Shas (3 seats but under threshold)

00 [02] Kadima

 

66 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

54 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

*Yes, in this scenario poll Shas is under the threshold for the first time since the 1980s.

Additional Questions:

Is the timing of the investigation into Yisrael Beitenu’s figures political?

44% Yes, 40% No, 16% Don’t know

(80% of Yisrael Beitenu voters answered yes)

How corrupt are the following party leaders from a scale of one to ten.

Liberman 7.1, Netanyahu 5.5, Livni 5.4, Lapid 5.1, Herzog 4.6, Bennett 3.6, Kahlon 3.

Do corruption allegations affect your vote?

14% Yes

Which party leader would best handle economic and socioeconomic issues?

Kahllon 27%, Don’t Know 20%, Herzog 17%, Netanyahu 14%, Bennett 10%, Lapid 8%, Liberman 2%.

Which party leader would best handle security issues?

Netanyahu 40%, Don’t Know 18%, Bennett 13%, Herzog 12%, Liberman 12%, Lapid 4%, Kahlon 1%

If not Netanyahu, who would you like to see as Prime Minister?

Herzog 32%, None of them 21%, Lapid 12%, Bennett 10%, Livni 9%, Don’t Know 8%, Kahlon 6%, Liberman 2%

 

Do you believe another escalation will take place soon in the Gaza Strip?

64% Yes, 20% Don’t know, 16% No

Do you want Prime Minister Netanyahu to be re-elected?

55% No, 38% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Do you think a campaign that is based on security issues influences voters more than other issues?

46% Yes, 28% No, 26% Don’t know

Do the poverty reports that were released have any influence on your vote?

55% No, 40% Yes, 5% Don’t know

Sarid conducted a scenario poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 2 on December 25 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [21] Labor-Livni

22 [18] Likud

17 [11] Bayit Yehudi

12 [11] *United Arab List (Hadash 6, Ra’am-Ta’al 6, Balad 0)

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

07 [–] Koolanu

04 [10] Shas

00 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun) – Pollster said they had over 3 seats but under 3.25% threshold.

00 [02] Kadima

67 [61] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

TRI conducted a scenario poll of 501 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by NANA.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [21] Labor-Livni

21 [19] Yesh Atid & Koolanu

20 [18] Likud

16 [11] Bayit Yehudi

11 [11] *United Arab List

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Meretz

05 [10] Shas

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai)

00 [02] Kadima

00 [–] Strong Israel (polled under threshold)

Additional Questions:

If the voting in Israel was direct elections which ticket would you choose?

Netanyahu 45.1%, Herzog-Livni 32.7%, 15.7% Neither, 6.5% Don’t know

Dialog conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 10 on Dec 23 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

22 [21] Labor-Livni

21 [18] Likud

17 [11] Bayit Yehudi

11 [11] *United Arab List (5 Hadash, 6 Ra’am-Ta’al, 0 Balad)

10 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

04 [10] Shas

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai)

00 [02] Kadima

 

71 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

49 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

Netanyahu 38%, Herzog 32%, Don’t know 30%

Who do you expect will be Prime Minister?

Netanyahu 56%, Herzog 22%, Kahlon 7%, Bennett 5%, Liberman 5%, Lapid 4%

 

Who will best deal with security threats?

Netanyahu 30%, Liberman 22%, Herzog 21%

Who will best deal with economic threats?

Kahlon 33%, Herzog 22%, Netanyahu 15%, Lapid 15%, Bennett 11%, Liberman 4%

TRI conducted a poll of 501 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by Bizportal on Dec 22 2014.

Which party is the most “Chevrati” (cost of living, welfare, decreasing gaps in society)?

16.6% Koolanu, 14.6% Don’t know, 14.4% Labor, 9.8% Bayit Yehudi, 9.4% Yesh Atid, 7.8% Meretz, 7.6% Likud, 5.8% Shas, 5% Yishai, 4.6% UTJ, 1.4% Yisrael Beitenu, 1% Hadash, 1% Raam Taal, 0.8% Balad, 0.4% Kadima

From the following candidates who is your preference for the position of Prime Minister?

29.5 Netanyahu, 23.6% Herzog, 13.4% Bennett, 7.0% Kachlon, 6.2% Lapid, 4.2% Liberman, 1.4% Gal-On, 14.8% Don’t know