Panels conducted a poll of 534 people with a margin of error of 4.3% for Maariv that was first published their sister paper the Jerusalem Post on Dec 26 2014. In addition a scenario poll was taken if the Arab lists run together as one bloc.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [21] Labor-Livni
23 [18] Likud
17 [11] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
11 [11] *United Arab List (5 Hadash, 6 Ra’am-Ta’al, 0 Balad)
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Meretz
07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)
05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [10] Shas
04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)
00 [02] Kadima
67 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)
*I will list Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together as “United Arab List” & give separate results in (brackets) until they complete merger.
Scenario Poll: United Arab Ticket
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [21] Labor-Livni
24 [18] Likud
18 [11] Bayit Yehudi
13 [11] United Arab List
11 [19] Yesh Atid
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)
06 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Meretz
04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)
00 [10] Shas (3 seats but under threshold)
00 [02] Kadima
66 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)
54 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)
*Yes, in this scenario poll Shas is under the threshold for the first time since the 1980s.
Additional Questions:
Is the timing of the investigation into Yisrael Beitenu’s figures political?
44% Yes, 40% No, 16% Don’t know
(80% of Yisrael Beitenu voters answered yes)
How corrupt are the following party leaders from a scale of one to ten.
Liberman 7.1, Netanyahu 5.5, Livni 5.4, Lapid 5.1, Herzog 4.6, Bennett 3.6, Kahlon 3.
Do corruption allegations affect your vote?
14% Yes
Which party leader would best handle economic and socioeconomic issues?
Kahllon 27%, Don’t Know 20%, Herzog 17%, Netanyahu 14%, Bennett 10%, Lapid 8%, Liberman 2%.
Which party leader would best handle security issues?
Netanyahu 40%, Don’t Know 18%, Bennett 13%, Herzog 12%, Liberman 12%, Lapid 4%, Kahlon 1%
If not Netanyahu, who would you like to see as Prime Minister?
Herzog 32%, None of them 21%, Lapid 12%, Bennett 10%, Livni 9%, Don’t Know 8%, Kahlon 6%, Liberman 2%
Do you believe another escalation will take place soon in the Gaza Strip?
64% Yes, 20% Don’t know, 16% No
Do you want Prime Minister Netanyahu to be re-elected?
55% No, 38% Yes, 7% Don’t know
Do you think a campaign that is based on security issues influences voters more than other issues?
46% Yes, 28% No, 26% Don’t know
Do the poverty reports that were released have any influence on your vote?
55% No, 40% Yes, 5% Don’t know
At least, according to this poll, I would REALLY like a united arab list. The reason for these results are that the arab list takes away votes from Meretz and Labor?