Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Walla that was published on Nov 21 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #1: With Gantz leading Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
26 [24] Zionist Union led by Gantz
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #2: With Gantz leading a new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [–] Gantz Party
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #3: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud led by Saar
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 14% Don’t know, 12% None of the above, 11% Gantz, 6% Saar, 6% Lapid, 5% Livni, 4% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

Was the Prime Minister correct for keeping Defense Minister for himself and not giving it to Naftali Bennett?

44% Yes, 31% No, 31% Don’t know

Was Naftali Bennett correct in his decision not to resign and avoid early elections?

54% Yes, 25% No, 21% Don’t know

Do you support early elections?

46% No, 40% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Army Radio conducted a poll for Midgam that was broadcast on Nov 20 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

The main objective of Netanyahu’s speech was political or national security interests?

58% Political interests, 31% National security interests, 11% Don’t know

Center-left voters: 80% Political interests

Will Netanyahu as Defense Minister do a better job than Liberman in regards to the situation in the south?

52% No difference, 19% Yes, 16% No, 13% Don’t know

Right wing voters: 30% Yes

Poll #1: Midgam/Channel 13 Poll

Midgam conducted a poll of 539 people for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 19 2018.

Who do you want to see as Defense Minister?

28% Gantz, 20% Don’t know, 13% None of the above, 11% Ashkenazi, 10% Bennett, 7% Netanyahu, 6% Galant, 5% Barak

Do the recent political developments justify or not justify early elections?

46% Justify, 40% Don’t Justify, 14% Don’t know

Poll #2: Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 Poll

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 701 people for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Nov 19 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [24] Zionist Union
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
15 [–] Gantz Party
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

58 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
62 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Midgam/Channel 13 Poll

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 17 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Gantz as part of Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud
24 [24] Zionist Union with Gantz
14 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [07] Shas
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Was Liberman’s decision to resign the correct move?

59% Yes, 26% No, 15% Don’t know

What is the main motive behind Liberman’s resignation?

49% Disagreement with cabinet decision, 36% Personal political reasons, 11% Don’t know, 4% Disagreements with the IDF

Is it the right move to appoint Minister Naftali Bennett as Defense Minister?

51% No, 25% Don’t know, 24% Yes

Have recent political developments justified the call for early elections?

53% Yes, 32% No, 15% Don’t know

Poll #2: Panels/Maariv Poll

Panels conducted a poll of 586 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Nov 16 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

69 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud led by Saar
16 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [01] Orly Levy
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

70 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased or not pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct during the latest round with Hamas?

70% No, 19% Yes, 11% Don’t know

Likud voters: 50% Yes, 44% No, 6% Don’t know

Are you pleased or not pleased with Defense Minister Liberman’s conduct during the latest round with Hamas?

66% No, 20% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Yisrael Beitenu voters: 50% Yes, 41% No, 9% Don’t know

Did Liberman do the right thing by resigning as Defense Minister?

55% Yes, 23% Don’t know, 22% No

Yisrael Beitenu voters: 68% Yes, 23% No, 9% Don’t know

Do you support Liberman’s call for early elections?

43% Yes, 34% No, 23% Don’t know

Who won in the latest round?

Hamas 50%, Don’t know 31%, Israel 19%

Who should replace Liberman as Defense Minister?

None 27%, Galant 23%, Bennett 20%, Erdan 3%, Y.Katz 2%

Poll #3: Smith/Channel 20 Poll

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4 margin of error for Channel 20 that was broadcast on Nov 15 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

69 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who of the following people is most suited to serve as Defense Minister?

30% Netanyahu, 29% No Opinion, 15% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 8% Bennett, 5% Liberman, 4% Gabbai

Likud voters: 60% Netanyahu, 23% Other person, 17% No opinion
Zionist Union voters: 36% Gantz, 15% Gabbai
Yesh Atid voters: 33% Lapid, 16% Gantz, 10% Netanyahu
Bayit Yehudi voters: 31% Bennett, 29% Netanyahu
Yisrael Beitenu voters: 30% Liberman, 20% Netanyahu, 10% Bennett
Kulanu voters: 39% No opinion, 28% Gantz, 18% Netanyahu, 15% Others

Additional note: Netanyahu leads among Haredim, religious and traditional voters. Among secular voters 22% chose Gantz and 18% chose Netanyahu.

Do you agree or disagree with the argument that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas is an act of giving in to terror?

75% Agree, 25% Disagree

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Nov 15 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: With new Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
15 [–] New Gantz Party
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: The polling average has been updated at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with the conduct of PM Netanyahu during the security escalation?

74% No, 17% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of DM Liberman during the security escalation?

69% No, 19% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of IDF COS Eizenkot during the security escalation?

51% No, 35% Yes, 14% Don’t know