Jeremy Saltan is quoted in two articles as part of the Jerusalem Post’s Transparency in Knesset series:
http://www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/The-info-is-there-but-who-can-figure-it-out-349934
Jeremy Saltan is quoted in two articles as part of the Jerusalem Post’s Transparency in Knesset series:
http://www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/The-info-is-there-but-who-can-figure-it-out-349934
Midgam conducted two polls broadcast by Channel 10 on April 17 2014.
The first poll added Kachalon as an option, has Likud & Beitenu running together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [31] Likud Beitenu
16 [15] Labor
12 [–] Kachalon Party
11 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [11] Shas
08 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
01 [02] Kadima
58 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
The second poll ran Kachalon & Beitenu together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
23 [11] Yisrael Beitenu + Kachalon
19 [20] Likud
18 [15] Labor
10 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Shas
08 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
04 [04] Hadash
03 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Midgam conducted two polls of 500 people with a margin of error of 3.9% on April 9-10 and was published by Yediot Achronot on April 14 2014.
The polls used the new threshold of 3.25%.
The first poll added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [31] Likud Beitenu
16 [15] Labor
12 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [–] Kachalon Party
10 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [06] Meretz
09 [11] Shas
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
00 [02] Kadima
57 [61] Right-Religious
52 [59] Center-Left-Arab
The second poll ran Likud and Beitenu as different parties, added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [20] Likud
16 [15] Labor
11 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [06] Meretz
10 [–] Kachalon Party
08 [11] Shas
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
00 [02] Kadima
58 [61] Right-Religious
52 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: This is the first poll of the Knesset term where Likud Beitenu running together comes out under 30 seats. Seven parties in double digits. Kachalon is running in the low double digits in the results of every polling company. The difference of opinion seems to come on where the votes are coming from. The raising of the threshold does not seem to make such an impact in this poll.
Dialgoue conducted a poll that was published by Haaretz on April 11 2014.
The poll uses the old threshold of 2% instead of the new threshold of 3.25%. It also does not include Kachalon’s new party.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
37 [31] Likud Beitenu
15 [15] Labor
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
14 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [06] Meretz
09 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
03 [06] Movement
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
68 [61] Right-Religious
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Hard to take analyze a poll with old threshold.
Panels conducted a Kachalon scenario poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel April 10th 2014.
The poll used the new threshold (3.25%).
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [31] Likud Beitenu
19 [15] Labor
13 [19] Yesh Atid
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [–] New Kachalon Party
12 [06] Meretz
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
00 [15] Movement, Ra’am-Ta’al, Balad and Kadima don’t pass threshold.
59 [61] Right-Religious
48 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: These numbers would be different if they polled all Arab parties together.