Tag Archive: Jeremy Saltan


Channel 12 Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 30, Labor 9, Hadash-Taal 9, 3 tied at 6; Right-Religious Bloc 66

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 4 Comments
April 1, 2019

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

Panels conducted a poll 552 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on April 1 2019.

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
09 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
05 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.1% [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)

Under 1%:

00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

53% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 17% Don’t know

Who won the last round in the south?

36% Don’t know, 34% Hamas, 30% Israel

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103 FM Radio Poll (from Friday): Blue & White 31, Likud 29, Labor 8, 3 tied at 7; Right-Religious Bloc 69

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — Leave a comment

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll 442 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on March 29 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
29 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

00 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

69 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
51 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

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Channel 12 Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 28, Labor 8, Hadash-Taal 7, 2 tied at 6; Right-Religious Bloc 64

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Midgam conducted a poll 502 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 31 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

1.6% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under 1%

0.5% [–] Others
0.4% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.1% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 15% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Who will form the next government?

56% Netanyahu, 22% Gantz, 18% Don’t know, 4% Neither

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Week 14: Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: Blue & White 30.5, Likud 28.7, Labor 9.1, Hadash-Taal 7.2, UTJ 6.6; Right-Religious Bloc 64.4

Filed under: Knesset, Weekly Poll Avg — 1 Comment
March 30, 2019

Important Note #1: KnessetJeremy.com celebrated our 9th anniversary this week.
Important Note #2: The deadline for publishing polls is on Friday. The final polling average and prediction will be released on that date.

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday March 30th 2019.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 13 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3130.50.230.311
2ndLikudNetanyahu2928.7-0.32929
3rdLaborGabbai109.10.1918
4thHadash-TaalOdeh87.2-0.47.66
5thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman76.606.66
6thUnited Right ListPeretz76.1-0.26.35
7thHaYamin HeHadashBennett65.90.25.73
8thShasDeri65.40.54.97
9thMeretzZandberg65.1-0.35.45
10thZehutFeiglin65.10.74.40
11thKulanuKahlon44.10.43.710
12thRaam-BaladAbbas02.902.97
13thYisrael BeitenuLiberman02.5-1.23.75
14thOther28 Others00.80.30.58
Right-Religious Bloc6564.40.164.366
Center-Left-Arab Bloc5555.6-0.155.754

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the last 10 polls that were released from March 24 to March 30 (3 Midgam, 2 Panel Project HaMidgam, Panels, Smith, Maagar Mochot, Teleseker & Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Meretz, B) HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & United Right List, D) Shas & UTJ & E) Hadash-Taal & Raam-Balad.

Note #5: Kulanu passed the electoral threshold in 9 of 10 polls this week. Raam Balad passed in 7 polls, Yisrael Beitenu passed in 6 polls and Gesher passed in 2 polls this week.

Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Shas-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu-Zehut is polling at a high of 68 and a low of 59. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad & Gesher when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 61 and a low of 52.

Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 6 parties have withdrawn to date.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


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Yisrael HaYom & I24 News Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 28, Labor 8, 7 tied at 6; Right-Religious Bloc 68

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — Leave a comment
March 29, 2019

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll 610 people with a 4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael HaYom & broadcast by i24news on March 29 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2% [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)

Under 1%

00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

46% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 19% Don’t know

To what extent is the US recognition of the Golan an achievement of Netanyahu?

23% To a very great extent, 21% To a great extent, 17% To a certain extent, 15% To a low extent, 13% Don’t know, 11% To a very low extent

What is the main issue you will vote on?

29% Economy, 28% Security, 15% Other, 10% Corruption, 7% Divides in society, 7% Diplomatic, 4% Identity of head of list

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