Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Channel 12 on Jan 31 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.9% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.1% [03] Religious Zionist + Bayit Yehudi (Smotrich)
1.2% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
1.2% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.8% [00] Green Leaf
0.3% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.2% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.1% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario A: Labor + Huldai

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Labor + The Israelis (Michaeli)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Scenario B: Raam leaves Joint List

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Raam (Abbas)

Panels conducted a poll of 536 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Maariv and the Jerusalem Post on Jan 29 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Labor (Michaeli)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
2.6% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
2.2% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.4% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.4% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0.4% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)
0.2% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0% [00] Green Leaf
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

56% Netanyahu, 34% Lapid, 10% Don’t know
46% Netanyahu, 41% Saar, 13% Don’t know
42% Netanyahu, 36% Bennett, 22% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on Jan 29 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [00] New Economy (Zalika)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.0% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
1.2% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
1.0% [00] Democratic Party

Under 1%

0.6% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
0.5% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.1% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.1% [00] Green Leaf
0.1% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario Poll A: Labor/The Israelis/Tnufa/Economic/Telem Merger

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [06] Labor (Michaeli) + Israelis/Tnufa/Economic/Telem
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
12 [03] New Hope (Saar)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Scenario Poll B: Yesh Atid + The Israelis Merger

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + The Israelis
11 [03] New Hope (Saar)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [00] New Economy (Zalika)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Israel’s Prime Minister?

33% Netanyahu, 23% Don’t know, 14% Lapid, 12% Saar, 10% Bennett, 5% Huldai, 3% Gantz

What is the topic that will most influence your vote?

32% Economy, 16% Leader of the list, 16% Don’t know, 15% Religion and State, 14% Diplomacy and Security, 7% Corona

Are you optimistic or pessimistic regarding the corona crisis ending in the next 6 months?

45% Pessimistic, 44% Optimistic, 11% Don’t know

Is the Prime Minister’s latest economic plan an election ploy or actually needed?

51% Election ploy, 36% Actually needed, 13% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll of 514 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Jan 26 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
15 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Labor (Michaeli)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.7% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
2.2% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
2.1% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.6% [00] Green Leaf
0.5% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0.4% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.3% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0.1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario Poll A: Smotrich+Moshe+Ben Ari Merger

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) + Bayit Yehudi (Moshe) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Labor (Michaeli)

Scenario Poll B: Huldai+Labor

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [03] The Israelis (Huldai) + Labor
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Scenario Poll C: Lapid + Huldai

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Huldai (The Israelis)
15 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Labor (Michaeli)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited for the position of Israel’s Prime Minister?

28% Netanyahu, 18% None of the above, 14% Saar, 12% Bennett, 12% Lapid, 8% Huldai, 8% Don’t know

Do you prefer that the new coalition be formed without the Haredi parties?

61% Yes, 22% No, 17% Don’t know

Right: 52% Yes, 33% No, 15% Don’t know

Center-Left: 78% Yes, 17% Don’t know, 5% No

Panels conducted a poll of 517 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103 FM on Jan 25 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.6% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.4% [03] Labor (Michaeli)
1.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.7% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.6% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.2% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.2% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario Poll: Huldai+Labor

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [03] The Israelis (Huldai) + Labor
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

Additional Question:

Who is most suited for the position of Israel’s Prime Minister?

32% Netanyahu, 21% Saar, 12% Lapid, 11% Bennett, 10% Don’t know, 3% Gantz