Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Project Hamidgam conducted a poll of 703 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Feb 2 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
16 [03] New Hope (Saar)
10 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
05 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.7% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.0% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
2.0% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.9% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
0.8% [00] Green Leaf
0.3% [01] Gesher (Levy)
0.1% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.1% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario Poll A: Labor + The Israelis

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
15 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [02] Labor + Huldai (Michaeli)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)

Scenario Poll B: Merger of Religious Zionist/Bayit Yehudi/Otzma/Noam and Joint List split.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
06 [03] Right Merger (Smotrich)
05 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Raam (Abbas)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Israel’s Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 19% Don’t know, 16% Saar, 14% Lapid, 9% Bennett, 7% Gantz

If the anti-Netanyahu block forms a government who should be prime minister?

27% None, 23% Saar, 20% Bennett, 19% Lapid, 11% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 512 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103 FM on Feb 2 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
2.2% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
2.2% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)
1.6% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
1.6% [00] New Economy (Zalika)

Under 1%

0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [00] Green Leaf
0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario Poll A: Merger of Religous Zionist/Bayit Yehudi/Otzma/Noam:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] New United Right Merger (Smotrich)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)

Scenario Poll B: Labor+Huldai worth 7 seats

Additional Question:

Do you want to see the Haredi parties in the next coalition?

52% No, 30% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Channel 20 on Feb 1 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.0% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
1.1% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
0.9% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)
0.7% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
0.5% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)

Under 0.5%

0% [00] Green Leaf
0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Channel 12 on Jan 31 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.9% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.1% [03] Religious Zionist + Bayit Yehudi (Smotrich)
1.2% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
1.2% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.8% [00] Green Leaf
0.3% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.2% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.1% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)

Scenario A: Labor + Huldai

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Labor + The Israelis (Michaeli)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Scenario B: Raam leaves Joint List

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Raam (Abbas)

Panels conducted a poll of 536 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Maariv and the Jerusalem Post on Jan 29 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Labor (Michaeli)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
2.6% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
2.2% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 1%

0.4% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.4% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0.4% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)
0.2% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0% [00] Green Leaf
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

56% Netanyahu, 34% Lapid, 10% Don’t know
46% Netanyahu, 41% Saar, 13% Don’t know
42% Netanyahu, 36% Bennett, 22% Don’t know