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103 FM & Maariv Polls

Poll #1: Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 18 2019.

What are the considerations guiding the attorney general, which is expected to decide soon in the prime minister’s investigation files, are they professional considerations or not professional?

71% professional, 29% Non-professional

Is the gag order imposed this week on the new legal case being investigated by the police justified or unjustified?

58% unjustified, 42% Justified

Poll #2: Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 18 2019.

Has the sexual bribery scandal that was exposed in recent days damaged your faith in the judicial system?

35% Great extent, 34% Certain extent, 13% Small extent, 11% Didn’t hear about scandal, 7% No extent

What is your level of confidence in the legal and justice system in Israel?

55% Low, 39% High, 6% No opinion

Note #1: 65% on the right, 42% on the center and 32% on the left answered low.

Note #2: 68% on the left, 53% on the center and 29% on the right answered high.

Panels conducted a poll of 539 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 17 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Lapid + Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under 3.25% threshold
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

40% Center, 26% Don’t know, 23% Left, 11% Right

Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 people with a 3.1% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Green Leaf
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note #1: In this poll there is a combined 7.3% of votes under the threshold – that would be around 320,000 votes
Note #2: 20% are undecided on their vote and could change their minds (22% Center, 17% Left, 15% Right)(25% female, 15% Male).
Note #3: Undecided voters – 19% Israel Resilience, 15% Labor, 12% Yesh Atid, 11% Likud, 10% Livni, 8% Meretz, 8% Gesher
Note: 79% are sure they will vote on eleciton day.

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz, 22% Neither, 14% Don’t know

38% Netanyahu, 30% Neither, 21% Lapid, 11% Don’t know

TNS conducted a poll of 527 people for Channel 11 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi

1.0% [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
0.6% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) 
0.4% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) 
0.2% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Yachad (Eli Yishai), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and others under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Joint UTJ+Shas list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where would you place the following politicians on the political map?

Netanyahu: 76% Right, 11% Center, 8% No opinion, 5% Left
Lapid: 44% Center, 32% Left, 13% Right, 11% No opinion
Gantz: 36% Center, 26% Left, 26% No Opinion, 12% Right

Which of the following people do you prefer as prime minister of Israel?

42% Netanyahu, 31% Gantz, 27% Neither
45% Netanyahu, 34% Neither, 21% Lapid

Shiluv Poll of Haredim

Shiluv conducted a poll for HaMishpacha that was published on Jan 16 2019.

Should the Haredi parties run on a joint list?

Yes: 71% of Sephardim, 58% of Haredalim, 52% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
No: 22%. That includes 16% of Lithuanians, 11% of Sephardim and 9% of Hasidim

Will you vote for a joint Haredi list?

Yes: 81% of Sephardim 74% of Hasidim 68% of Haredalim and 61% of Lithuanians

Who would you vote for today?

51% for United Torah Judaism, 22% for Shas, 4% for Yahad and 4% for Bnei Torah

79% of Lithuanians and 68% of Hasidim will vote for United Torah Judaism, 65% of the Sephardim will vote for Shas

Should Netanyahu resign when an indictment is filed against him?

No: 65% of Sephardim, 55% of Hasidim, and 50% of Lithuanian
Yes: 18% of Hasidim, 12% of Lithuanians and 11% of Sephardim

Are you right or left?

Haredi public: 57% right, 13% center, 1% left
Right: 70% of Sephardim, 67% of hardalim, 60% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
Left: 2% Lithuanians, 1% Sephardim, 1% Hasidim