Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll of 521 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Dec 25 2019.

Scenario #1: No Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario #2: With Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Gantz Party
12 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario #3: Lapid+Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid+Gantz
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Who is the most worthy of being Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 22% None, 12% Gantz, 11% Don’t know, 9% Lapid, 6% Gabbai

Do you support early elections in April?

53% Yes, 34% No, 13% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 502 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv on Dec 24 2018 that was published on Dec 25 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Gantz Party
12 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Midgam conducted two scenario polls of 533 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Dec 16 2018.

Scenario Poll #1: With Gantz leading a new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Gantz Party
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60[54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll #2: With Gantz joining Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid + Gantz
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with the conduct of Benjamin Netanyahu as Defense Minister?

58% No, 33% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of Moshe Kahlon as Finance Minister?

60% No, 30% Yes, 10% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Walla that was published on Nov 21 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

67 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #1: With Gantz leading Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
26 [24] Zionist Union led by Gantz
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #2: With Gantz leading a new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
19 [–] Gantz Party
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
Scenario Poll #3: With Saar leading Likud

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud led by Saar
17 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 14% Don’t know, 12% None of the above, 11% Gantz, 6% Saar, 6% Lapid, 5% Livni, 4% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

Was the Prime Minister correct for keeping Defense Minister for himself and not giving it to Naftali Bennett?

44% Yes, 31% No, 31% Don’t know

Was Naftali Bennett correct in his decision not to resign and avoid early elections?

54% Yes, 25% No, 21% Don’t know

Do you support early elections?

46% No, 40% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Note: The polling average HAS BEEN UPDATED at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Army Radio conducted a poll for Midgam that was broadcast on Nov 20 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
18 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
06 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

The main objective of Netanyahu’s speech was political or national security interests?

58% Political interests, 31% National security interests, 11% Don’t know

Center-left voters: 80% Political interests

Will Netanyahu as Defense Minister do a better job than Liberman in regards to the situation in the south?

52% No difference, 19% Yes, 16% No, 13% Don’t know

Right wing voters: 30% Yes