Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Kantar conducted a poll of over 586 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast on July 9 2019 by Channel 11/Kan.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz)
06 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash + Zehut (Bennett & Feiglin)
05 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Note: Lower turnout among Arab sector and right-wing voters.

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of over 507 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published on July 5 2019 by Yisrael Hayom.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [06] Labor (Peretz)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Ehud Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
07 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: What if all 5 right wing parties (HaYamin HeHadash, Bayit Yehudi, National Union-Tekuma, Otzma Yehudit & Zehut) joined on the same list?

31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
25 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
19 [05] United List of All 5 Right Wing Parties (Bennett, Peretz, Smotrich, Feiglin, Ben Gvir)
08 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz)
07 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Ehud Barak)

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
06 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #2: What if Ehud Barak led a list with his party, Labor & Meretz?

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
26 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
19 [10] Israel Democratic Party+Labor+Meretz (Barak, Peretz & Horowitz)
08 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
08 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)

60 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
07 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 24% Other answers, 22% Gantz, 12% Barak, 4% Peretz, 3% Liberman

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of over 711 people with a 4% margin of error that was broadcast on July 3 2019 by Channel 13.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [—-] Ehud Barak Party
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Note: This is the first public poll (alongside the Channel 12 poll) that was conducted after:

1) Pollsters read out “HaYamin HeHadasah under Bennett” w/o Shaked.
2) The leadership change in Meretz from Zandberg to Horowitz.
3) The leadership change in Labor from Gabbai to Peretz.
4) The second poll after Ehud Barak announced his new party.

Additional Question:

Which coalition would you like to see?

42% National Unity Government w/o Haredim, 21% Likud w/Haredim, 16% National Unity Government w/Haredim, 15% Don’t know, 6% Center-Left Government w/Haredim

Midgam conducted a poll of over 600 people that was broadcast on July 3 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [06] Labor (Peretz)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

3.0% [—-] Ehud Barak Party
2.1% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 2%

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Note: This is the first public poll (alongside the Channel 13 poll) that was conducted after:

1) Pollsters read out “HaYamin HeHadasah under Bennett” w/o Shaked.
2) The leadership change in Meretz from Zandberg to Horowitz.
3) The leadership change in Labor from Gabbai to Peretz.
4) The second poll after Ehud Barak announced his new party.

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister: Netanyahu or Gantz?

40% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 21% Neither, 9% Don’t know

Who is more suited for Prime Minister: Netanyuahu or Barak?

41% Netanyahu, 34% Neither, 16% Barak, 9% Don’t know

Additional Note: Mina Tzemech is no longer conducting polls for Midgam with Mano Geva for Channel 12.

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of over 701 people with a 4% margin of error that was broadcast on June 27 2019 by Channel 13.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [—-] Ehud Barak Party
05 [06] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

61 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
52 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
07 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)