Archive for June, 2020


Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 3.9% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on June 28.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

38 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
16 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
11 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

64 [59] Right Bloc
48 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

62 [73] Current Coalition
58 [47] Current Opposition

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 547 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was released on June 17. The poll was conducted Jun 16.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
15 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
11 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.1% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.6% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0.5% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)

Blocs:

65 [59] Right Bloc
47 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

69 [73] Current Coalition
51 [47] Current Opposition

Additional Question:

What is your position regarding the application of sovereignty to the land that will be annexed to Israel on the basis of the Trump Plan?

42% Apply on Jordan Valley, the settlements and the area around them, 39% Don’t annex at this time, 8% Only on Gush Etzion & Maale Adumim, 6% Don’t know, 4% Only on Jordan Valley

Right voters: 71% Apply on everything, 12% Apply on nothing, 8% Gush Etzion & Maale Adumim, 5% Don’t know, 4% Jordan Valley
Center voters: 58% Nothing, 13% Everything, 10% Don’t know, 9% Jordan Valley, 9% Gush Etzion & Maale Adumim
Left voters: 81% Nothing, 8% Gush Etzion & Maale Adumim, 5% Don’t know, 3% Everything, 2% Jordan Valley

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4.0% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on June 16 2020 and Maariv on June 17. The poll was conducted Jun 15-16.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
15 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.5% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
1.4% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)

Blocs:

65 [59] Right Bloc
47 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

67 [73] Current Coalition
53 [47] Current Opposition

Scenario Poll:
Eizenkot joins Yesh Atid as #2,
Derech Eretz joins Yamina,
Theoretical Shulman Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid) + Eizenkot
10 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [05] Yamina (Bennett) + Derech Eretz
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)
04 [–-] Shulman Party (Private Sector Advocates)

Additional Question

Over the weekend, an article by the UAE ambassador to the United States was published in which he argued that unilateral annexation cannot be carried out and continue to hope that good relations with the Persian Gulf countries will be maintained. In light of this claim, what do you think should be done:

29% Don’t know, 27% Annex in July anyways, 23% Don’t annex, 21% Postpone annexation to a later date

Likud voters: 39% Annex now, 30% Don’t know, 22% Postpone, 8% Don’t annex
Blue & White voters: 33% Don’t know, 29% Postpone, 28% Don’t annex, 11% Annex now
Yamina voters: 48% Annex now
Yesh Atid voters: 52% Don’t annex

National Religious: 51% Annex now, 3% Don’t annex
Secular: 33% Don’t annex

Right voters: 44% Annex now, 13% Postpone
Center-Right: 31% Postpone, 22% Annex now
Center voters: 35% Postpone, 33% Don’t annex, 5% Annex now

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM on June 12 2020. The poll was conducted Jun 10-11.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
13 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

02 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

64 [59] Right Bloc
49 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

71 [73] Current Coalition
49 [47] Current Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you support the application of Israeli sovereignty to the settlements of Judea and Samaria?

67% Yes, 33% No

Are you concerned about a wave of Palestinian violence post-annexation?

68% Yes, 32% No

Midgam conducted a poll of 509 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by N12 on June 8 2020. The poll was conducted the same day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.5% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.4% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0.4% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

64 [59] Right Bloc
47 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
09 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

68 [73] Current Coalition
52 [47] Current Opposition

Scenario Poll: Theoretical Shulman Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

38 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
13 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
11 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)
05 [–] Shulman Party (Private Sector Advocates)

Additional Questions:

Do you support the application of sovereignty over 30% of Judea and Samaria as part of the Trump Plan that lead to negotiations that will create a Palestinian State?

46% No, 34% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Right: 41% Yes, 39% No, 20% Don’t know
Center-Left: 56% No, 24% Yes, 20% Don’t know

What is the most important mission of the next government?

69% Combat economic crisis, 15% Fighting coronavirus, 6% Don’t know, 5% Annexation of settlements in Judea & Samaria, 4% Struggle against Iran

Right: 68% Economy, 14% Corona, 8% Annexation, 6% Iran, 4% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Economy, 15% Corona, 4% Don’t know, 2% Annexation, 2% Iran