Archive for May, 2016


Geocartography conducted a poll for Radio Kol Chai that was broadcast by on May 29 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

21 [11] Yesh Atid

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [24] Zionist Union

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [05] Meretz

07 [10] Kulanu

04 [07] Shas

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Key Note #1: Only about 70% of UTJ voters defined themselves as Haredi (ultra-orthodox)

Key Note #2: Bayit Yehudi jumps to 14 seats from the 8 seats in last Geocartography poll that was conducted less than two weeks ago.

Key Note #3: I do think this is most likely an outlier poll in terms of totals but the trends are in line with the other leading polling companies.

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on May 26 2016.

Do you think that now that the coalition includes Yisrael Beitenu that it is more stable or less stable than before Yisrael Beitenu joined it?

44% Coalition is now more stable, 23% Stability of coalition has not changed, 18% Coalition is now less stable, 15% Don’t know

Do you think that the Prime Minister should keep acting towards expanding the coalition even further?

45% No, 32% Yes, 23% Don’t know

Those who answered “Yes”:Which Party would you like to see in the coalition?

53% Yesh Atid, 30% Zionist Union, 17% Don’t know

Do you think that the Zionist Union will eventually join the current coalition that includes Yisrael Beitenu?

70% No, 18% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Do you think that the Yesh Atid Party will eventually join the current coalition that includes Yisrael Beitenu?

62% No, 20% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Is Bennett correct in demanding changes in the Security Cabinet?

49% Correct, 32% Don’t know, 19% Not Correct

Should Bennett remain stubborn, not give up, even at the price of bringing down the coalition?

50% No, 27% Don’t know, 23% Yes

Do you think that the government in its extended current form will advance a diplomatic process?

61% No, 26% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Zionist Union Voters: If the primaries were conducted today for the Leadership of the Labor Party, and you had a chance to take part, who would you choose?

24% Yachmovich, 21% Margalit, 15% Herzog, 13% Peretz, 5% Bar-Lev, 22% Someone else/Don’t know

Would you vote for a party that is led by Gideon Saar, Moshe Yaalon and Orly Levy?

37% For sure not, 28% Probably not, 16% Probably, 14% Don’t know, 5% For sure

Smith conducted a poll for Reshet Bet Radio that was broadcast on May 27 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud

19 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll: New Party of Yaalon+Saar+Kahlon

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon, Saar, Yaalon)

21 [30] Likud

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [11] Yesh Atid

11 [24] Zionist Union

10 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

05 [05] Meretz

78 [67] Right-Religious

42 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on May 23 2016

Which of these two men is more worthy to serve as Defense Minister of Israel?

60% Yaalon, 28% Liberman, 12% Don’t know

Do you agree with Yaalon’s decision to resign from the government?

57% Yes, 28% No, 15% Don’t know

Who do you think was right in the confrontation between Yaalon and Netanyahu?

General Public: 49% Yaalon, 37% Netanyahu, 14% Don’t know

Likud voters: 63% Netanyahu, 19% Yaalon

Where would you place Yaalon on the political map?

36% Moderate Right, 27% Center, 20% Left, 10% Don’t know, 7% Right

Would you consider voting for a party led by Yaalon?

58% No, 16% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Would you consider voting for a party that is led by Yaalon with Saar as #2?

61% No, 17% Maybe, 12% Yes, 10% Don’t know

Would you consider voting for a party that is led by Saar with Yaalon as #2?

60% No, 17% Maybe, 13% Yes, 10% Don’t know

Do you think Yaalon is suited to serve as Prime Minister of Israel?

45% No, 38% Yes, 17% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 515 voters with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv and the Jerusalem Post that was published on May 19 2016.

Do you support or oppose the appointment of Avigdor Liberman as Defense Minister?

48% Oppose, 37% Support, 15% No opinion

Do you agree with the argument that transferring Moshe Yaalon from the Defense Ministry to another position is an action of “firing” him as a result of the confrontation with Netanyahu over the last few weeks?

64% Yes, 21% No, 15% Don’t know

Do you think that Moshe Yaalon should resign from the Likud after his transfer from the Defense Ministry to another position?

General Public: 38% Yes, 37% No

Likud voters: 51% No, 26% Yes, 23% Don’t know

Meretz voters: 67% Yes

Yesh Atid voters: 55% Yes

Zionist Union voters: 55% Yes

Do you think because of the failed attempt to join the government that Herzog should resign from the leadership of the Labor Party?

General Public: 46% Yes, 33% No, 21% Don’t know

Zionist Union voters: 48% Yes, 39% No, 13% Don’t know

If there was a Labor Leadership Election today – who would you vote for?

Zionist Union voters: 36% Yacimovich, 35% Undecided, 24% Herzog, 4% Margalit, 1% Peretz