Midgam conducted a poll for the Channel 2 on Jan 21 2016
Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?
42.7% Someone else, 40.7% Netanyahu, 16.4% Ashkenazi
Who is more suited to lead the Zionist Union?
44.3% Someone else, 37.8% Ashkenazi, 17.9% Herzog
Who has best chance at defeating Netanyau?
28.8% Ashkenazi, 24% Lapid 8.4% Herzog
Now that Ashkenazi is cleared is he worthy of entering politics?
49.5% Yes, 31,4% No, 19.1% Don’t know/refuse to answer
Panels conducted a poll of 500 people with a margin of error of 4.3% on Jan 20 for the Knesset Channel
Do you want Ashkenazi to enter politics?
43% No, 31% Yes, 23% No opinion
Which party should Ashkenazi join?
31% Zionist Union, 28% Yesh Atid, 20% Likud, 9% No opinion/don’t know, 4% Kulanu, 3% Bayit Yehudi, 2% Yisrael Beitenu
Did Ehud Olmert get special treatment from the justice system in his plea bargain?
70% Yes, 16% No
When will elections be held?
59% Between a year to two years, 23% On time in 2019, 5% in the coming months
Following Bennett’s criticism of Yaalon and Netanyahu in his INSS speech, should he leave government?
54% Stay, 32% Go
Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast on Jan 18 for the Knesset Channel.
Do you know who Miki Zohar is?
53% MK, 43% Don’t know, 2% Journalist, 1% Economist, 1% Mayor, 1% Big Rabbi
Does MK Zohar’s Shabbat Law and statement on State of Tel Aviv reflect your views (Likud voters)?
40% Don’t know, 30% Yes, 30% No
What should be the flagship issue of Likud MKs in this term (Likud voters)?
31% Diplomatic & Security, 24% Social, 22% Economy, 10% Religion & State, 6% Settlements, 6% Don’t know
How would you define the media’s treatment of MK Zohar (Likud voters)?
47% Don’t know, 28% Unfair, 25% Fair
Does MK Zohar’s presence on the Likud list make you vote for the party (Likud voters)?
51% No difference, 26% Don’t know, 14% Yes, 9% No
A poll conducted by statnet of 654 people with a margin of error of 4.4% on Jan 21st 2016 was broadcast by Channel 10. Additional scenario polls were taken as well.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
04 [05] Meretz
71 [67] Right-Religious
49 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Scenario Poll #1: If Ashkenazi led Zionist Union
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [30] Likud
18 [24] Zionist Union led by Ashkenazi
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
04 [05] Meretz
70 [67] Right-Religious
50 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Scenario Poll #2: If Ashkenazi is #2 in Yesh Atid
26 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid led by Lapid & Ashkenazi
14 [24] Zionist Union led by Herzog & Livni
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
69 [67] Right-Religious
51 [53] Center-Left-Arab
Scenario Poll #3: Merger of Yesh Atid (Lapid), Kulanu (Kahlon) and Ashkenazi into one big center party.
29 [21] New Yesh Atid-Kulanu-Ashkenazi Party
24 [30] Likud
13 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
35% Netanyahu, 11% Bennett, 11% Liberman, 9% Ashkenazi, 9% Herzog, 19% none.
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If Ashkenazi enters politics it has a one to two seat change on the blocs. Regardless the Anti-Netanyahu alliance of Yesh Atid-Zionist Union-Meretz-Joint List fails to get close to forming a bloc large enough to block Netanyahu in a stage 2 situation by the President residence.
In the unlikely scenario of a mega-Lapid-Kahlon-Ashkenazi-party, the party would still fall short of a coalition even after signing coalition agreements with Zionist Union, Meretz and Yisrael Beitenu. The likelihood of the 50-seat-bloc of Likud and the religious parties joining a coalition with Lapid would be extremely low and the Arab parties are against joining any Zionist government.
Israel Counter up to 46 in GOP Debates+NH Forum compared to one mention in the four on the Democratic Party side (Debates+SC Forum). Overall Israel was mentioned four times, one each, by four candidates during the the Fox Business Debate.
GOP Events Times
Huckabee6 6
Cruz 7 5
Rubio 7 5
Fiorina 7 4
Paul 7 3
Bush 7 3
Kasich 7 2
Christie7 2
Trump 6 2
Santorum7 1
Carson 7 1
Gilmore 1 0
Pataki 5 4 out
Jindal 5 4 out
Graham 5 2 out
Walker 3 2 out
Perry 2 0 out
*Events: Debates+NH Forum
Dem Events Times
Clinton 4 0
O’Malley4 0
Sanders 4 0
Webb 1 1 out
Chafee 1 0 out
*Events: Debates+SC Forum
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