Smith conducted a poll that was broadcast by Reshet Bet Radio on Jan 23 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [20] Labor-Livni
25 [18] Likud
16 [11] Bayit Yehudi
12 [11] United Arab List
09 [20] Yesh Atid
09 [10] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [00] Koolanu (Kahlon)
05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [06] Meretz
00 [02] Ha’am Itanu – under 3.25% threshold
00 [02] Kadima
69 [61] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)
51 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Why do not Yishai unite with Haim Amshalem? Amshalem is at least not an extremist. And that could get them both in.
Would it be any idea for Bayit Yehudi to form a joint list with the female hareidi party? As they are female (and female hareidim are not allowed in politics by Shas, UTJ, etc.), I do not think that the media would dear to criticize Bennett for trying to help female hareidim into politics. Also I think secular voters could appreciate the effort to give female hareidim political representation.
Also I think that joining with Haim Amshalem could be a good idea for BY – is that off the table completely?
Rav Amshalem has publically stated that he thinks that those who released the Rav Ovadia video, ie the Yishai camp are the ones who caused him problems in Shas.
I don’t think the female hareidem you refer to are actually from the official Haredi camp. I also don’t think they have a high opinion of Bennett. It would however be a good plus for Bennett to get them to join him, and he would rightly be praised if this were to happen, but his candidates have already been chosen.
With regard to your last comment, Rav Amshalem , in respect to the previous election referred to BY as a party who discriminated against Sephardim. I have not read that he says otherwise this time. Though if they gave him the No2 spot he might change his mind.
Saying Amsalem is not an extremist is like saying Meretz is moderate; it depends which direction you are coming from. From the Chareidi viewpoint he’s certainly an extremist.
What would anybody gain from joining the so-called “female Chareidi party”? To my knowledge, the official reason for the original breakup of the United Religious List at the beginning of the State is that Mizrachi put Tova Sanhedrai on their list, and Adugah withdrew because of Halachic concerns. (And yes, it is a Halachic issue, and not only Chareidi. I’ve seen a prominent Modern Orthodox posek in the US quoted on the general issue.)
Personally, I wish the spokesmen who are asked about this just say it is an issue of Jewish law, and be done with it. Somebody has forgotten to inform the Charedi community that they are supposed to be embroiled in it; I mean really – a Facebook campaign? Maybe they should also advertise on TV or in Ha’aretz? Given that this violates two core Chareidi principles – different roles for men and women and submission to Torah authority, how are these women Chareidi? (I have no problem if the Shas rabbis decide it’s OK, BTW.)
Chers peuple israélien votez le likoud sinon vous allez perdre vos terres à cause du parti travailliste. Le likoud ou le foyer juif vous défendra contre vos ennemis. Jaime beaucoup Israël et je la soutiens Sabbath shalom
Can someone explain to me why Kadima is even included in these polls?
Because they currently hold 2 seats and polls generally include all current parties.
They are still a party.
What I don’t understand about the polls is how the Shas voters in some polls are so different from those in others – in some they are split between Deri and Yishai, and in others they figure Yishai won’t pass and return to Deri. How can one account for such differing results in the same period?
And given the rather surprising results when it was asked, why has the question about a joint Chareidi list been only asked once? Is it because it is highly unlikely or because the polling companies don’t want to bring up the idea, given how well they did? (I’m skeptical about those results, myself.)
Good question MZK1, I will give you my personal opinion for what its worth.
Historically religious Sephardim pre Shass tended to support Herut/Likud but with the advent of Shass and them becoming more Charedi followed the saintly Rabbi Ovadia Yosef voted Shass and became slightly less right wing.
Under the leadership of Deri Shass has become less Zionist moved towards the centre and has become the Sephardi equivalent of the UTJ. On the other hand there is still a hardcore right wing who find Deri’s leadership not right wing enough and are supporting Yishai.
Truthfully there is no reason why Shass and UTJ should not get together and form a joint list where they would likely get between 15 and 18 seats . The only reason it will never happen is because of Sephardi Aschkenazi politics.