Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 13 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [19] Likud
17 [12] Bayit Yehudi
14 [15] Labor
10 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [06] Meretz
08 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [11] Shas
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [–] New Kachlon Party
05 [04] Hadash
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Preliminary Reading Voting:
43 MKs voted for: 12 of 13 Yisrael Beitenu MKs, 10 Yesh Atid, 9 Labor, 4 Raam-Taal, 4 Livni, 2 Hadash, 1 Kadima & 1 Meretz
23 MKs voted against: 11 Likud, 7 Bayit Yehudi, 1 UTJ, 1 Kadima, 1 Yesh Atid, 1 Labor, 1 Meretz
9 Abstaining MKs: 3 Shas, 2 UTJ, 2 Labor, 1 Balad, 1 Livni
9 Present but not voting MKs: 5 Shas, 2 UTJ, 2 Labor
36 Not Present MKs (mostly MKs who paired off): 8 Yesh Atid, 7 Likud, 5 Bayit Yehudi, 4 Meretz, 3 Shas, 2 UTJ, 2 Balad, 2 Hadash, 1 Yisrael Beitenu, 1 Labor, 1 Livni
Party Analysis:
Likud: 61% against, 39% not present
Bayit Yehudi: 58% against, 42% not present
Kadima: 50% against, 50% for
Shas: 45% voted not present, 27% abstain, 27% not present
UTJ: 28% abstain, 28% voted not present, 28% not present, 14% against
Meretz: 66% not present, 16% against, 16% for
Labor: 60% for, 13% abstain, 13% voted not present, 6% not present, 6% against
Yesh Atid: 52% for, 42% not present, 5% against
Livni: 66% for, 16% abstain, 16% not present
Yisrael Beitenu: 92% for, 8% not present
Hadash: 50% for, 50% not present
Balad: 66% not present, 33% abstain
Ra’am-Ta’al: 100% for
Item #2:
MK-to-Minister ratio: Likud 2.25:1, Y. Beytenu 2.6:1, Yesh Atid 3.8:1, Bayit Yehudi 4:1;
Will Livni get a second minister position to replace Amir Peretz?
Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 6 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [19] Likud
18 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [15] Labor
09 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [06] Meretz
08 [11] Shas
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [–] New Kachlon Party
07 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [04] Hadash
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
71 [61] Right-Religious
49 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Additional Questions:
Who is most fit to be Israel’s Prime Minister?
28% Prime Minister Netanyahu, 12% Economy Minister Bennett, 11% Opposition Leader Herzog, 9% Justice Minister Livni, 8% Foreign Minister Liberman, 6% Former Likud Minister Kachlon, 2% Finance Minister Lapid, 19% None of the above
What issues should the Likud focus on?
49% Economic & Social issues, 32% Security & Defense issues, 14% Diplomatic (peace process) issues
Should the center-left parties of Labor, Yesh Atid & Movement (Livni) merge or remain separate parties?
44% Separate, 34% Merge, 22% Don’t know
Will Obama’s loss in the midterms change US policy towards Israel?
32% Yes, will be more hostile, 28% No change, 20% Yes, will be more friendly, 20% Don’t know
What actions should the US Administration take in regards to Israel?
Only asked those who answered “Yes, will be more hostile”:
44% Pressure to restart negotiations, 23% Remove US veto in UN institutions, 21% Cut or cease aid to Israel
Are you satisfied or not satisfied from the conduct of the Israeli government in regards to dealing with the latest security events in Jerusalem?
81% Not satisfied, 15% Satisfied
What needs to be done to prevent future terror attacks in Jerusalem?
49% Increase punishment, 25% Increase enforcement, 19% Restart peace negotiations
By what measure, if at all, do the latest events harm the sense of security of the residents of the Jewish neighborhoods in Jerusalem?
60% Great harm, 31% Some harm, 5% Do not harm
What is your position on Jewish prayer on the Temple Mount?
33% It must be allowed immediately, 27% It should be allowed but not right now, 28% It should not be allowed
November Voice of Israel Radio Links (will be updated as month goes on):
1) Yishai Fleisher Show: Conversion Reform (Nov 3)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/yishai-nov03-2014
2) Inside Israel Today w/Mottle Wolfe: Stone throwing legislation (Nov 3)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/gil-nov03-2014
3) Live @ 5 Panel with Jeremy Gimpel, Danielle, Danny Seaman and Josh Hasten (Nov 3)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/live5-nov03-2014
4) Josh Hasten Show: Why Yesh Atid being the largest party doesn’t matter (Nov 4)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hl-1-hasten-nov4-2014
5) Big Falafel with Molly Livingstone: Yisrael Hayom & other Bills (Nov 4)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/molly-nov04-2014
Teaser: https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hl-molly-nov04-2014
6) National Security with Dan Diker: When Jerusalem barked at Washington – Obama-Netanyahu Relationship (Nov 6)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/diker-nov06-2014
Teaser: https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hl-diker-nov06-2014
7) Yishai Fleisher Show: on ‘Life without parole’ Bill (Nov 6)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hl-1-yishai-nov06-2014
8) Evening Newscast: Rock attacks on Route 1 (Nov 10)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/evening-newscast-nov-10-2014
9) Live @ 5 Panel with Jeremy Gimpel, Danny Seaman, Mottle Wolfe & Glen Ladau: Terror Attacks in Tel Aviv & Gush Etzion (Nov 10)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/live5-nov10-2014
10) Yishai Fleisher Show: Passing Budget in 1st reading/Terrorist Attacks (Nov 11)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/yishai-nov11-2014
11) Josh Hasten Show: Speaker Edelstein moment, Yisrael Hayom Bill (Nov 12)
https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hasten-nov12-2014
Algemeiner: http://www.algemeiner.com/2014/11/14/poll-77-of-israelis-oppose-bill-to-ban-free-newspapers/
12) Josh Hasten Show: Jewish State Bill (Nov 17)
Link 1: https://soundcloud.com/voiceofisrael/hasten-nov17-2014
Link 2: http://www.voiceofisrael.com/will-knesset-declare-israel-a-jewish-state/
13) National Security with Dan Diker: Striking a Balance Between Security Measures and Minority Rights (Nov 20)
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/striking-balance-security-measures-minority-rights/
14) Live @ 5 Panel: Is Barring Arab Workers from Israeli Kindergartens Discrimination or Protection? (Nov 20)
With Ari Abramowitz, Danny Seaman, Molly Livingstone & Glen Ladau.
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/barring-arab-workers-israeli-kindergartens-discrimination-protection/
15) Live @ 5 Panel: Will a New Jewish Nation-State Bill Impact Israel’s Minorities? (Nov 24)
With Jeremy Gimpel, Ari Abramowitz, Judy Lash-Balint & Glen Ladau
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/will-new-jewish-nation-state-bill-impact-israels-minorities/
16) Josh Hasten Show: Jewish State Bill + Tibi Debate Recap (Nov 25)
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/campus-hillels-infiltrated-faux-pro-israel-student-groups
17) Live @ 5 Panel: Did Israel’s Ambassador To UN Change Anyone’s Mind? (Nov 26)
With Josh Hasten, Eve Harow, Molly Livingstone & Glen Ladau
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/israels-ambassador-un-change-anyones-mind
18) Yishai Fleisher Show:Wave of new laws and bills that seem to point to a nationalist Zionist trend in Israeli society and the Knesset. (Nov 26)
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/rain-blood-law/
19) Live @ 5 Panel:Israeli Security Arrest 30 Hamas Operatives Planning Major Terror Attacks (Nov 27)
With Yishai Fleisher, Bassem Eid, Gil Hoffman & Glen Ladau
20) VOI Evening Newscast on possibility of new elections (Nov 30):
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/voi-evening-newscast-november-30-2014
21) Mottle Wolfe Show: Israeli political system and polls (Nov 30)
http://www.voiceofisrael.com/hebron-spiritual-center-modern-day-religious-fanaticism-2
If you want to listen to 13 of my October interviews:
http://jeremysaltan.com/2014/10/01/latest-voice-of-israel-radio-links/
Panels conducted a poll that was published by NRG on November 3rd 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [19] Likud
17 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [15] Labor
09 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [06] Meretz
08 [11] Shas
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [–] New Kachlon Party
05 [06] Movement
05 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note #1: A scenario poll taken showed that if Tekuma ran by itself they would receive 3 seats and not pass the new 3.25% (4 seat) threshold. Bayit Yehudi would lose 2 seats in that scenario.
Note #2: I will be updating Likud & Yisrael Beitenu’s current MK number after MK Saar’s resignation goes through.
Note#3: The poll results shown add up to 117 seats.
Additional Questions:
What grade do you give Housing Minister Uri Ariel’s performance?
34% Bad, 28% Average, 22% Good, 16% can’t determine
Is Minister Ariel’s building in Judea and Samaria?
52% Endanger Israel & world opinion, 30% Strengthens the State of Israel
Among Bayit Yehudi voters:
With which leader’s path in Bayit Yehudi do you identify with?
70% Naftali Bennett, 22% Uri Ariel
If you will vote for Bayit Yehudi in the next elections it will be because of?
76% Naftali Bennett, 13% Uri Ariel, 8% Neither/Other
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