Geocartography conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% error rate on November 18th 2014 that was published by Walla on November 20th.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [18] Likud
19 [12] Bayit Yehudi
17 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [15] Labor
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [–] Kachlon Party
06 [19] Yesh Atid
05 [11] Shas
05 [06] Meretz
05 [–] Green Leaf
10 [11] Hadash, Balad & Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
84 [61] Right-Religious
36 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note: Likud-Bayit Yehudi-Yisrael Beitenu coalition – 63 seats
- 39% of Yesh Atid voters left to the non-Haredi right wing bloc with14% to Yisrael Beitenu, 13% to the Likud, 6% Bayit Yehudi & 6% Kachlon
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Likud 27 (Panels/Knesset Channel 20), Yisrael Beitenu 17 (Panels/Knesset Channel 8) and Ale Yarok 5.
Definitely the interviewer was someone of Ale Yarok after smoke a “green leaf”.
Which poll should one trust more, Panels or this one? Both are not right.
What is Green Leaf? A new party suddenly taking 5 seats and Hatnua falling out?
Green Leaf is Aleh Yarok- a Marijuana party. Not new- always gets like half of 1%.
“Green Leaf” (Ale Yarok in hebrew) is the Cannabis party, 1.15% in the last elections.
And they get 5 seats – there must be something really wrong in this poll.
So- Beitenu 17 when everyone else has them at <10.
Aleh Yarok 5 seats..
Ridiculous.
Geocartography/Walla wasted their money on this poll. If you’re going to include them then why not other minor parties like Otzma, Koah LeHashpi’a or Eretz Hadasha; the pollster is probably pushing an agenda. The Panels/Knesset Channel Poll from November 20 seems to reflect the general trends we’ve seen for the past year+. Other than the odd outlier (such as this one), 70 or so right/religious is the new reality though the exact distribution between the right wing parties is in flux (not sure I’m ready to believe Bayit Yehudi at 19 in this poll or the previous one). Now the question remains of what will be the thing that blows up the coalition and causes new elections.
By “them” in the second sentence, I meant the Green Leaf party.
I think we’ve set a new record for “outlier”.