Two polls were broadcast/published this weekend following Saar’s intent to resign before the Knesset winter session opens on Oct 27 2014.

Panels poll was broadcast by Channel 2 television:

Of the following list of people who do you prefer to see as Prime Minister?

23% Prime Minister Netanyahu (Likud), 13% Economy Minister Bennett (Bayit Yehudi), 9% Foreign Minister Liberman (Yisrael Beitenu), 9% Opposition Leader Herzog (Labor), 8% Justice Minister Livni (Movement), 6% Former Opposition Leader Yachamovich (Labor), 3% Inteior Minister Saar (Likud), 3% Finance Minister Lapid (Yesh Atid), 2% Defense Minister Yaalon (Likud), 1% Communications Minister Erdan (Likud), 0% Transporation Minister Yisrael Katz (Likud), 0% Education Minister Piron (Yesh Atid).

Dialog poll was published by Haaretz newspaper (498 people, 4.4% margin of error):

Who do you think is most fit to be Prime Minister?

38% Prime Minister Netanyahu (Likud), 7% Opposition Leader Herzog (Labor),  6% Foreign Minister Liberman (Yisrael Beitenu), 5% Economy Minister Bennett (Bayit Yehudi), 5% Former Minister Kachlon, 5% Inteior Minister Saar (Likud), 5% Justice Minister Livni (Movement), 4% Finance Minister Lapid (Yesh Atid).

Additional Questions:

Following Interior Minister Gidon Saar’s announcement that he intends on resigning, does the chance that you will vote Likud: increase, decrease or not change?

80% Not change, 15% Decrease chance I will vote Likud, 3% Don’t know, 2% Increase chance I vote Likud

Are you considering voting for Kachlon’s party?

65% No, 19% Don’t Know, 16% Yes

If Gidon Saar joins a party with Kachlon will you consider voting for the joint party?

58% No, 19% Don’t Know, 23% Yes
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: I have been requested to reveal more of an “insider’s look” into the polls. The difference in the PM question of “prefer” vs “fit” is a great way of how you can ask the same question while receiving different results, in politics we call that manipulating a question. Gidon Saar is resigning, just as Kachlon did, as the most popular Likud minister in the government. According to the Haaretz poll, a joint Saar-Kachlon ticket would increase Kahlon’s chances by 7% in terms of voters who would consider voting that party. Consider voting for vs voting for is another great poll question example of how you can influence a result.

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