Panels conducted a poll of 511 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published in Maariv on Jan 16 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [21] Labor-Livni
22 [18] Likud
17 [11] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
11 [11] *United Arab List
09 [00] Koolanu (Kahlon)
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [10] Shas
06 [06] Meretz
00 [02] Ha’am Itanu
00 [02] Kadima
00 [00] Strong Israel
00 [00] Greeen Leaf
67 [61] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
In your “Bloc War” analysis, you move Koolanu and Yisrael Beitenu back and forth between Blocs. But you leave the United Arab List out altogether. No wonder Labor-Livni-Yesh Atid can’t win and Bibi always wins. The center left “Anyone but Bibi,” as well as the Arab List, both need to reconsider this, or else it will be “Bibi Forever.”