Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was published by NRG on Sept 5 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [19] Likud
16 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [15] Labor
11 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [11] Shas
06 [06] Movement
05 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Meretz
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Kadima
73 [61] Right-Religious
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.
* Reminder: MK Shama (Likud) resignation has lowered Likud from 20 seats to 19 seats. MK Miller (Yisrael Beitenu) who took the seat raises his party from 11 seats to 12 seats.
Maagar Mochot conducted a scenario poll that was published by NRG on Sept 5 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [19] Likud
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
12 [15] Labor
10 [11] Shas
08 [19] Yesh Atid
08 [–] New Kahlon Party
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Meretz
04 [06] Movement
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
01 [02] Kadima
81 [61] Right-Religious
39 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
That’s a real outlier. I find the UTJ number especially interesting – not that it is impossible, but it contradicts all of the other polls.
UTJ is not pollable. Very few who change their minds, it’s all about population growth, turnout, and internal charedi divisions.
This is a strange poll. Why?
1. Meretz drops from 6 – never happened since I do not know.
2. UTJ drops – not possible.
3. YB rises (big!) – outlier!
4. Shas does not fall (“at all”)
How long till the right religious poll at 90?
תודה thanks, גדעון אריאל Gidon Ariel 054-5665037 gidon.ariel@gmail.com
If that happened, it would for sure be a (big); outlier.
Although IB has gotten 15 seats in 2009, where would Lieberman be getting that extra support now? He’s the least popular right-wing leader unless you count Deri as right wing. Bayit Yehudi is consistent at the 15-18 level. The fact that there have been so many polls recently is helpful in creating a general picture even though some of the numbers here and there are outliers.
Possibly secularist Russians who voted for kadima and yesh lapid, but are now ready to vote right wing?
Remember, one can be ‘least popular’ and still get 10-15%.
How is it possible for Shas to get MORE when including Kachlon?
that is another strange thing in this poll – this poll is all “bull”
In general, Israeli polls do not have a great track record of being right.