Smith conducted a poll that was published by Globes on July 31st 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [20] Likud
14 [15] Labor
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
11 [19] Yesh Atid
08 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Meretz
06 [–] Kachalon Party
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
78 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon
43 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note: There are 120 seats, this poll comes out to 121 seats, it is not clear which party would lose a seat.
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud has a great showing with 31 seats, the same number he won 18 months ago with an alliance with Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu. The split works out well for both sides as Liberman grows from 11 seats to 13. The combined Likud-Yisrael Beitenu combo of 44 seats is a collective growth of 13 seats. This poll allows for a Netanyahu-Liberman-Bennett-Kachalon coalition of 63 seats, without the need for the Shas, UTJ or Yesh Atid parties.
Jeremy, your analysis is great fun to read, but hopefully BY would be heavier…
BY can only be heavier if more people vote BY.
yeh, that’s for sure (I mean I hoped that would/will be the case…)
I hear you