Smith conducted a poll that was published by Globes on July 31st 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [20] Likud

14 [15] Labor

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [11] Yisrael Beitenu

11 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

06 [--] Kachalon Party

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

78 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon

43 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Note: There are 120 seats, this poll comes out to 121 seats, it is not clear which party would lose a seat.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud has a great showing with 31 seats, the same number he won 18 months ago with an alliance with Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu. The split works out well for both sides as Liberman grows from 11 seats to 13. The combined Likud-Yisrael Beitenu combo of 44 seats is a collective growth of 13 seats. This poll allows for a Netanyahu-Liberman-Bennett-Kachalon coalition of 63 seats, without the need for the Shas, UTJ or Yesh Atid parties.

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