Panels conducted a poll on July 7th, following the announcement of the Likud Beitenu split. It was published the next day on July 8th 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [20] Likud
19 [15] Labor
18 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
11 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
11 [06] Meretz
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [11] Shas
05 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [02] Kadima
63 [61] Right-Religious
57 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud-Yisrael Beitenu split gives the right-religious block a three seat advantage compared to the previous poll conducted before the split. However Likud is the clear loser from this split. Likud only has a two-seat edge over Labor & a three-seat edge over Bayit Yehudi. Labor or Bayit Yehudi could be the largest party in Knesset if you factor in the margin of error. I’m happy that every poll from now on will be divided up between Likud & Yisrael Beitenu because that has been obvious for a long time. Shas keeps falling and is now under UTJ. Livni’s party has an impressive showing of 5 seats after being under threshold in all recent polls.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
This poll is again done with threshold 2% – strange!
I do not know if this will become the new norm, but Bayit Yehudi is again at 18 seats – second poll – this is historical (?). However great! Maybe Netanyahu has to be a cabinet minister in Bennett’s government and not the other way around!
I explained the pollster position on that.
BB will retire if he loses.
For sure Bibi will retire in that case and then the question is if Likud and Bayit Yehudi will become one party (, first under Bennett’s leadership (?))… And what would Liberman do? Also retire? Interesting to see.
At least it is great that Bayit Yehudi is gaining on Shas. If Shas splits before the election – do you think either faction will not gaet into Knesset or both factions (thinking about the new threshold)?
Check out the new Dialgoue poll I just posted, it is with new threshold so it is easier to imagine new elections with it.
I think it is pretty clear that Livni will merge into Avoda. Also, don’t you expect the Arabs parties to merge?
Check out the new Dialgoue poll I just posted, it is with new threshold so it is easier to imagine new elections with it. Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad probably merge, Hadash might not or they might split.
Elections revolve around 2 factors: shifts between camps and turnout. BY is clearly surging within the right but the secular/centrist/left camp holds steady at 46-48 mandates. So turnout in undervoting of late secular heartland and the Arab sector can be a factor. And Kachalon can also reappear to siphon votes from the center, moderate right and Shas. Bennett or Lieberman forming a government are the least likely scenarios in my estimation.
Check out the new Dialgoue poll I just posted, it is with new threshold so it is easier to imagine new elections with it, blocs change there.
Kachalon seems to take from left more than right. Also we don’t know how Arabs party mergers will play out, Hadash might not join, or it might split into two.
Dear Jeremy,
Will Knesset members support the IDF Jojoba Cultivation and Lubricant Project?
It will create a way to slash the lubricant budget of the IDF, while improving the lubricants its machines and vehicles use.
Noel Vietmayer, organic chemist at the National Academy of Sciences in Washington, D.C. has said, ” Jojoba’s lubricanting power is so great, that it exceeds the limits of conventional testing equipment. New tests will have to be devised before we can determine how good it really is.”
It is being organized by Jojoba Israel at Kibbutz Hatzerim, and the Middle East Israel and Jerusalem Green Chambers of Commerce.
We need to insure that the Israeli government make sufficent irrigation water available to plant jojoba bushes in all the new IDF bases in the Beersheva area.
Lubrizol, the Hatco Chemical Company, Pennzoil, Delek, which used to own Jojoba Israel, and is the Israeli Exxon Mobil agent; and Paz which has roots with Shell Oil; have been approached to participate in this transforming, sustainable, and renewable project.
Jojoba Israel has the world’s premium jojoba nursey stock.
Jojoba bushes live 100 years and more.
Our associates network with the Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company which did $70,000,000,000 business in 2013, Amory Lovins and the Rocky Mountain Institute, and Janine Benyrus and the BioMImicry Institute, institutions of excellent world stature.
Most of Israel’s Environment and Energy MInisters, almost universally, have not been green tech professionals.
Environment MInister Peretz, Energy Minister Shalom, MK Dov Hanin, and MK Miri Regev ignore our informational e mails.
We have an appointment with MK Rabbi Dov Lipman on July 27th to discuss this matter.
You and I met before the 2013 Knesset elections at Beit Daniel in Tel Aviv.
Daniel Berger – Executive Director
Middle East Israel and Jerusalem Green Chambers of Commerce Future Energy Marketing: THE Energy Consultant Cooperative (since1979)
N.J. Governor Thomas Kean’s Office of Management Improvement Services Economic Consultant to Israel’s Foreign Ministry’s Aid Programs to Africa and the Far East (since1991)
Sderot Hatzionut 5/52 Lod 7127714
Mensa
LinkedIn member
JewishLight.blogspot.co.il
http://www.the greandeal.50webs.com http://www.witt-energy-solutions.com http://www.skyqquestt.com http://www.taeq.org