Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Sarid conducted a poll of 825 people for the Kan Channel that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [07] Shas
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (under threshold)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do Hayamin Hehadash seats come from?

5 from previous Bayit Yehudi voters, 5 from Likud, 1 from Kulanu, less than 1 each – a combined 3 seats that are divided between Shas, Zionist Union, Yesh Atid and Yachad.

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz+Yaalon together

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz+Yaalon)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Who do you prefer for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 24% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 580 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Did Bennett & Shaked do the right thing by leaving Bayit Yehudi?

All voters: 43% Don’t know, 30% Yes, 27% No
Bayit Yehudi voters: 41% Don’t know, 31% No, 28% Yes

Who should lead Hayamin Hehadash?

All voters: 42% Don’t know, 35% Bennett, 23% Shaked
Right voters: 42% Bennett, 42% Don’t know, 26% Shaked

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 628 people with a 4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Dec 30 2018. The poll was conducted the night of Dec 29 following the press conference where Bennett & Shaked announced the formation of Hayamin Hehadash.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
15 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
14 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [10] Kulanu
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.