Tag Archive: knesset israel


Midgam Poll: Likud 29, Gantz 16, Joint List 12; Gantz+ZU: Likud 31, Gantz-ZU 25, Joint List 12

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 1 Comment
December 25, 2018

Midgam conducted a poll of 535 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Channel 13 that was conducted and published on Dec 25 2019.

Scenario #1: With Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Gantz Party
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
04 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–] Zehut (1%)
00 [–] Green Leaf (1%)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario #2: Zionist Union+Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
25 [24] Zionist Union + Gantz
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
04 [05] Meretz
04 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Question:

Do you want to see Netanyahu as the next Prime Minister?

52% No, 34% Yes, 14% Don’t know

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Walla Poll: w/o Gantz: Likud 32, Yesh Atid 17, Bayit Yehudi 12; W/Gantz: Likud 31, Gantz 14, Yesh Atid 12; W/Lapid-Gantz: Likud 31, Lapid-Gantz 26, Bayit Yehudi 11

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 3 Comments

Panels conducted a poll of 521 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Dec 25 2019.

Scenario #1: No Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud
17 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [05] Meretz
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

68 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario #2: With Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Gantz Party
12 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario #3: Lapid+Gantz Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid+Gantz
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Who is the most worthy of being Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 22% None, 12% Gantz, 11% Don’t know, 9% Lapid, 6% Gabbai

Do you support early elections in April?

53% Yes, 34% No, 13% Don’t know

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Panels Poll: Likud 30, Gantz 13, Yesh Atid 12, Bayit Yehudi 11, Joint List 11

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Panels conducted a poll of 502 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv on Dec 24 2018 that was published on Dec 25 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Gantz Party
12 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [05] Meretz
06 [01] Orly Levy
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

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KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls – Weekly Average #0

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December 24, 2018


KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

The Knesset parties have agreed in principle to call for an early election on April 9th 2019. That is 106 days from today. The Knesset could have chosen two earlier dates for the 21st Knesset elections (March 26, April 2) but instead will go to the ballot box just 10 days before Passover. Instead of voting on early elections today, the voting required to hold early elections was pushed off to Wednesday December 26th 2018. Israel will have a 15 week election season. The last election cycle was also a 15 week cycle. A key date to remember is Thursday Feb 21 2019 – the date when the final Knesset lists of each party are submitted.

This will be the fourth election-cycle KnessetJeremy will be tracking the polling, providing weekly averages and presenting key analysis to help others better understand Israeli public opinion.

Notes: The KnessetJeremy Polling Average tracks the most recent polling numbers. This page is updated as new polls are added to the site and the KnessetJeremy poll database.

This current average will be the last average that will not take Benny Gantz’s new party into account. Starting with next week’s weekly average Gantz’s party will be added.

PartyKnessetJeremy Polling Average (7 Last Polls)2018 AVG (48 Polls)2017 AVG (44 Polls)2016 AVG (33 Polls)All Polls (125 Polls from 2015-2018)2015 Election
Likud29.630.825.925.727.730
Yesh Atid17.320.122.720.521.211
Joint List12.311.711.812.81213
Zionist Union11.912.31513.613.624
Bayit Yehudi10.710.51212.211.58
UTJ7.17.37.47.57.46
Kulanu7.16.87.36.6710
Yisrael Beitenu7.166.58.66.96
Orly Levy/Others5.93.70.301.40
Meretz5.76.4666.15
Shas5.34.45.16.55.27
Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.6765.864.567.165.667
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B.5354.255.552.954.453
Party125 Poll Avg125 Poll Placing Avg2015 Election2015 PlacingUp/Down
Likud27.71st301st0
Yesh Atid21.22nd114th2
Zionist Union13.63rd242nd-1
Joint List124th133rd-1
Bayit Yehudi11.55th86th1
UTJ7.46th69th3
Kulanu77th105th-2
Yisrael Beitenu6.98th68th0
Meretz6.19th510th1
Shas5.210th77th-3
Others1.4n/an/an/an/a
Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.65.6n/a67n/an/a
Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B.54.4n/a53n/an/a

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 7 most recent polls from this week. It is being compared to an average of 48 polls conducted in 2018, an average of 44 polls conducted in 2017, an average of the 33 polls (32 conducted in 2016 and one 2015 poll), an average of 125 polls conducted since the 2015 election and the 2015 election results.

To provide additional context there is a 125-poll average that presents the average for the entire term in comparison to their ranking in the 2015 election. Coalition vs Opposition numbers include parties that do not pass the threshold such as Yachad, Yaalon and Zehut.

There have been 125 opinion polls released by the top polling companies to the public over the last 44 months since the last election in March 2015.

The 2016 average is of 7 Smith, 6 Panels, 5 Midgam, 5 Geocartography, 4 HaMidgam Project, 3 Maagar Mochot, 2 Teleseker & 1 202 Strategies poll.

The 2017 average is of 11 HaMidgam Project, 8 Panels, 8 Midgam, 8 Geocartography, 4 Maagar Mochot, 3 Smith, 1 Teleseker & 1 Shavkim Panorama poll.

The 2018 average is of 15 Panels, 12 Midgam, 8 HaMidgam Project, 5 Geocartography, 5 Smith and 2 Maagar Mochot poll.

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Midgam Poll: Likud 28, Gantz Party 16, Yesh Atid 13, Joint List 12, Zionist Union 10

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 1 Comment
December 16, 2018

Midgam conducted two scenario polls of 533 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Dec 16 2018.

Scenario Poll #1: With Gantz leading a new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Gantz Party
13 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [01] Orly Levy
04 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60[54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll #2: With Gantz joining Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid + Gantz
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [24] Zionist Union
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Orly Levy
00 [–-] Zehut, Yaalon, Yachad (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with the conduct of Benjamin Netanyahu as Defense Minister?

58% No, 33% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of Moshe Kahlon as Finance Minister?

60% No, 30% Yes, 10% Don’t know

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