Tag Archive: knesset in israel


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Dec 30 2018.

The current KJPA is currently averaging the 5 most recent polls (Panels, Midgam, Sarid, Panel Project HaMidgam and Direct Polls) released on December 30 2018. It is being compared to the 2015 election results.

AVGCurrentParty
27.630Likud
13.40Israel Resilience
12.811Yesh Atid
12.413Joint List
10.43Yamin Hadash
8.824Zionist Union
76UTJ
5.610Kulanu
5.65Meretz
4.87Shas
4.61Gesher
3.85Yisrael Beitenu
3.25Bayit Yehudi
62.466Right-Religious
57.654Center-Left-Arab

Sarid conducted a poll of 825 people for the Kan Channel that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [07] Shas
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (under threshold)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do Hayamin Hehadash seats come from?

5 from previous Bayit Yehudi voters, 5 from Likud, 1 from Kulanu, less than 1 each – a combined 3 seats that are divided between Shas, Zionist Union, Yesh Atid and Yachad.

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Gantz+Yaalon together

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
16 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz+Yaalon)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Who do you prefer for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 29% Gantz, 24% Neither, 11% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 580 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Dec 30 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
15 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
09 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [07] Shas
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Zehut, Green Leaf, Yachad, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Did Bennett & Shaked do the right thing by leaving Bayit Yehudi?

All voters: 43% Don’t know, 30% Yes, 27% No
Bayit Yehudi voters: 41% Don’t know, 31% No, 28% Yes

Who should lead Hayamin Hehadash?

All voters: 42% Don’t know, 35% Bennett, 23% Shaked
Right voters: 42% Bennett, 42% Don’t know, 26% Shaked