Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Midgam conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Jan 13 2018. The poll was conducted on Jan 10-11 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

63 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Yesh Atid and Kulanu run on a joint list:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [21] Yesh Atid + Kulanu
25 [30] Likud
17 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

BB vs Lapid: 42% Neither, 35% Netanyahu, 23% Lapid

BB vs Gabbay: 52% Neither, 33% Netanyahu, 15% Gabbay

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Congratulations to me on writing 1000 posts on Jeremy’s Knesset Insider!

Panels conducted a poll of 572 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 12 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
22 [30] Likud
14 [24] Zionist Union
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Was the taping of the conversation between Yair Netanyahu and his friends worthy of airing?

44% No, 40% Yes, 16% Don’t know/No opinion

Note: Right voters 58% No, 24% Yes, 18% Don’t know.
Center and left voters 57% Yes, 32% No, 11 Don’t know.

Should the public pay for the security of the Prime Minister’s children, including their driver and car?

62% No, 24% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Note: 52% of Likud voters answered yes.

Was the tape meant for public gossip or does the public have a right to know what is being done with their money?

53% Gossip, 40% Right to know, 7% Don’t know

What was the worst thing revealed in the tape?

28% Usage of public funds for private outing, 24% comments against women, 16% connection to gas deal, 14% Don’t know, 10% visit to strip club, 8% he did nothing wrong

Does the tape weaken Netanyahu politically?

54% Yes, 36% Don’t know, 10% No

What do you think of the supermarket law that was passed this week in the Knesset?

62% Oppose, 20% Support, 18% No opinion/don’t know

Note/Breakdowns: 
Haredim: 65% Support, 23% Don’t know, 12% Oppose
National Religious: 46% Support, 27% Don’t know, 27% Oppose
Traditional: 64% Oppose, 21% Support, 15% Don’t know
Secular: 87% Oppose, 7% Don’t know, 6% Support

Level of support: 67% of UTJ voters, 46% Shas, 46% Bayit Yehudi, 34% Likud, 16% Yisrael Beitenu, 10%% Kulanu, 8% Zionist Union, 6% Yesh Atid and 0% of Meretz

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Yisrael HaYom on Jan 1 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud
26 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
04 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Makor Rishon on Dec 29 2017. The poll was conducted on Dec 25-27 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

33% None, 24% Netanyahu, 18% Lapid, 7% Yaalon, 6% Gabbay, 6% Bennett, 3% Liberman, 3% Don’t know

There is an additional poll that was published this week that I will not include in my polling average for two reasons. First, it was conducted for one of the political parties. Second, the polling company that conducted the poll has not released a political poll since 2014. The company was the least accurate polling company in the 2009 and 2013 cycles according to the KnessetJeremy parameters.

Shvakim Panorama conducted a poll for Yisrael Beitenu that the party leaked to Ynet that published it on Dec 26 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
19 [11] Yesh Atid
17 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Channel 20 on Dec 24 2017. The poll was conducted on Dec 18-19 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid
24 [30] Likud
20 [08] Bayit Yehudi
14 [24] Zionist Union
09 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
00 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

How confident are you that you will vote for the party of your choice?

94% Joint List, 80% UTJ, 65% Meretz, 57% Likud, 53% Zionist Union, 42% Yisrael Beitenu, 38% Bayit Yehudi, 38% Yesh Atid, 7% Kulanu

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/