Archive for February, 2018


Poll #1: Smith

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people that was broadcast by Channel 20 on Feb 25 2018.

Do you have or do you not have confidence in the Israeli judicial system?

57% No (40% Not so much, 17% Not at all, 43% Yes (27% Yes, 16% A little)

Women: 53% No, 47% Yes
Men: 60% No, 40% Yes

Age 18-29: 63% No, 37% Yes
Age 30-49: 61% No, 39% Yes
Age 50+: 52% Yes, 48% No

Under Avg Income: 73% No, 27% Yes
Avg Income: 53% No, 47% Yes
Above Avg Income: 50% No, 50% Yes

Haredi: 93% No, 7% Yes
Religious: 81% No, 19% Yes
Traditional: 53% No, 47% Yes
Secular: 52% Yes, 48% No

High School Education: 59% No, 41% Yes
More than High School: 60% No, 40% Yes
College Educated: 53% No, 47% Yes

Negev and South: 59% No, 41% Yes
Haifa and North: 57% No, 43% Yes
Tel Aviv and Center: 53% No, 47% Yes
Jerusalem: 53% No, 47% Yes
Sharon Area: 51% No, 49% Yes

 

Poll #2: Midgam

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Feb 22 2018.

Is a person who grants testimony to the police by their demand in the affairs of another person a snitch?

73% No, 17% Don’t know, 10% Yes

Should the police investigate a Prime Minister if there are well-founded suspicions against him?

84% Yes, 9% No, 7% Don’t know

Is Homeland Security Minister Gilad Erdan who is in charge of the police protecting the police in a fitting manner against the Prime Minister’s attacks?

40% Don’t know, 31% No, 29% Yes

Could harming the standing of the police lead to harming the equality under the law principle?

67% Yes, 17% Don’t know, 16% No

Could harming the standing of the police lead to harming the democratic principles in general?

70% Yes, 15% No, 15% Don’t know

Do you trust or not trust Police Commissioner Roni Alsheikh?

49% Trust, 30% Don’t know, 21% Don’t trust

Do you trust Roni Alsheikh’s statement in regards to the police investigators being followed by private investigators?

43% Don’t know, 37% Yes, 20% No

Can the Prime Minister keep running the affairs of the state effectively or does he need to suspend himself?

48% Suspend himself, 35% Keep serving, 17% Don’t know

 

Midgam conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Feb 24 2018. The poll was conducted on Feb 21-22.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

63 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

UPDATED KnessetJeremy Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

 

Poll #1: Channel 10

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 714 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on Feb 21 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
23 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

63 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: If someone else led Likud into the next election

26 [30] Likud without Netanyahu
23 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

AVG has been UPDATED at: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #2 Channel 2 News

Midgam conducted a poll for Channel 2 News that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Feb 21 2018.

Should Netanyahu resign or suspend himself?

50% Yes, 33% No, 17% Don’t know

Should Netanyahu call early elections?

42% Yes, 36% No, 22% Don’t know

Geocartography conducted a poll that was published by Yisrael Hayom on Feb 21 2018. It was conducted the previous day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
14 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
00 [07] Shas (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

70 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
50 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: KnessetJeremyPollAverage have been UPDATED at:
https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Jerusalem Post/Maariv

Smith conducted a poll of 556 people that was published by the Jerusalem Post and Maariv on Feb 16 2018. It was conducted on Feb 14.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud
22 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do the investigations harm Netanyahu’s ability to run the country and handle security crises?

59% Yes, 32% No, 9% No opinion,

Likud voters: 55% No, 35% Yes
Others: 90% of Zionist Union voters & 80% of Yesh Atid’s voters answered yes.

Is Netanyahu corrupt?

48% Yes (28% very corrupt, 20% somewhat corrupt), 41% No (22% not corrupt at all, 19% not very corrupt), 11% Don’t know

Likud voters: 77% No, 8% Yes
Religious voters: 73% No, 11% Yes
Others: 91% of Zionist Union voters, 76% of Yesh Atid voters, 70% of Kulanu voters and overall 67% of secular voters answered yes.

What should Netanayhu do in the wake of the Police Recommendations?

43% Keep doing his job, 25% Quit, 22% Suspend himself, 10% Don’t know

Yesh Atid voters: 37% Suspend, 34% Resign, 25% Stay
Others
: 79% of Likud voters answered Keep doing his job compared to 11% of Zionist Union.

Will the police recommendations weaken Netanyahu politically or strengthen him?

48% Weaken him, 24% Don’t impact, 15% Don’t know, 13% Strengthen him

Likud voters: 35% Weaken him, 20% Strengthen him

Is the conduct of the Police Commissioner professional or political?

41% Professional, 32% Political, 27% Don’t know

Should Kahlon leave the coalition?

43% Yes, 31% Don’t know, 26% No

Kulanu voters: 50% No, 20% Yes

If Netanyahu is forced to resign due to corruption charges, who should replace him as the leader of the Likud?

46% None, 29% Saar, 14% Katz, 8% Erdan, 3% Hanegbi

In the event that Netanyahu would suspend himself and would be replaced by another minister who should serve as acting Prime Minister?

43% None, 13% Bennett, 10% Liberman, 10% Kahlon, 9% Katz, 8% Erdan, 6% Edelstein, 1% Hanegbi

 

Poll #2: Police Commissioner Roni Alsheikh

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Feb 12 2018.

Did the Commissioner do the right thing by granting an interview to the Uvda television show before the investigations into the Prime Minister were over?

57% Did wrong thing, 25% Don’t know, 18% Did the right thing

Do you believe the Commissioner that power players are interfering in the Prime Minister’s case by gathering information on his investigators?

48% Yes, 31% Don’t know, 21% No

Do you agree with Netanyahu’s arguments about the non-objectivity of his investigators?

40% Yes, 40% No, 20% Don’t know

Right voters: 59% Yes, 21% Don’t know, 20% No
Center-Left: 63% No, 20% Yes, 17% Don’t know

Do you generally trust the professionalism of the Israeli police?

49% Yes, 49% No, 2% Don’t know

Are you pleased with the conduct of Police Commissioner Roni Alsheikh?

44% Yes, 32% No, 24% Don’t know

Is there a danger to the independence of the police in connection to investigations on public officials and politicians?

42% Yes, 40% No, 18% Don’t know

Note: KnessetJeremyPollAverage have been UPDATED at:
https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Channel 2 News

Midgam conducted a poll of 598 people that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Feb 14 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud
22 [11] Yesh Atid
15 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Should Netanyahu resign as a result of the police recommendations?

48% Yes, 36% No, 16% Don’t know

Note: Likud voters: 68% No, 19% Yes, 13% Don’t know.
58% of Kulanu voters answered yes.

Who do you believe: Netanyahu or Lapid?

35% Don’t know, 35% Lapid, 30% Netanyahu

 

Poll #2: Channel 10

Panel Project Hamidgam conducted a poll of 726 people with a 3.42% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on Feb 14 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
25 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Should Netanyahu resign, go on leave or remain in his position?

50% Go on leave or resign, 42% Remain, 8% Don’t know

Do you believe that the elements in the police and the political system are attempting a coup?

53% No, 34% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Have the police recommendations changed your opinion about the allegations directed towards the Prime Minister?

71% No, my position has not changed, 17% No, I did not have a position before hand, 12% My position changed

 

Poll #3: Channel 1

Shiluv conducted a poll of 500 people for Channel 1 (Kan) that was broadcast on Feb 14 2018.

Should the Prime Minister go on leave as a result of the police recommendations?

47% Yes, 36% No, 15% Don’t know

Who do you believe: The police or the Prime Minister?

51% Police, 27% Don’t know, 22% Prime Minister

Is Prime Minister Netanyahu corrupt?

48% Yes, 28% No, 24% Don’t know

Does the attack by elements in the Likud on the police influence your position on the party?

52% No, 42% Yes, for the worse, 6% Yes, for better

 

Poll #4: Knesset Channel:

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on Feb 5 2018.

Are you satisfied with the conduct of Avi Gabbai as the leader of Labor?

44% No, 27% Yes, 29% Don’t know

Zionist Union voters: 46% No, 45% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Are Gabbai’s positions clear to you?

62% No, 25% Yes, 13% Don’t know

How should Labor’s MKs who disagree with Gabbai’s conduct act?

41% Back their leader, 33% Criticize Gabbai, 26% Don’t know

Zionist Union voters: 56% Back their leader, 24% Don’t know, 20% Criticize him

How do you define Avi Gabbai on the political map?

31% Center, 24% Don’t know, 19% Moderate left, 12% Moderate right, 10% Left, 4% Right

How should Gabbai act towards the Haredi parties?

43% Compromise with them, 39% Go against them with army draft and supermarket issues, 18% Don’t know

Do you think Gabbai is suited to be Prime Minister?

61% No, 20% Yes, 19% Don’t know

 

Note: KnessetJeremyPollAverage IS UPDATED:
https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Poll #1: Liberman Poll:

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Kneeset Channel on Jan 29 2018.

Was Liberman justified in his decision that Rabbis that went out against women serving in the IDF or against the COS will no longer be allowed to take part in any IDF event?

59% Yes, 36% No, 5% Don’t know

Was Liberman correct to prohibit airing or interviewing Yonatan Gefen on Army Radio because he compared Tamimi to Anne Frank?

47% Yes, 39% No, 14% Don’t know

Is Liberman correct in his struggle against the Haredim on the Shabbat Law and supporting the protest in Ashdod?

59% Yes, 37% No, 4% Don’t know

What should Liberman do before the next elections?

41% Run with Yisrael Beitenu, 36% Don’t know, 23% Merge with Likud

Are you satisfied with Avigdor Liberman’s conduct as Defense Minister?

55% No, 38% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Is Liberman suited to be Prime Minister?

76% No, 14% Yes, 10% Don’t know

From what you know and have heard is Yisrael Beitenu a corrupt party?

58% Yes, 23% Don’t know, 19% No

Is there still a place in Israel for a former Soviet Union immigrants party?

52% No, 30% Yes, 18% Don’t know

FSU Immigrants: 47% Yes, 43% No, 10% Don’t know

 

Poll #2: Illegal Aliens:

New Wave conducted a poll of 500 people that was published by Yisrael Hayom on Jan 30 2018.

Should Israel should deport illegal immigrants?

58% Yes, 23% No, 19% Don’t know

How do you define the illegal immigrants?

51% Migrant Workers, 37% Asylum Seekers, 12% Don’t know

Was it the correct decision to expel illegal aliens from Eritrea and Sudan to a third country in Africa, in which the State of Israel has reached an agreement?

63% Yes, 20% No, 17% Don’t know

Which of the two statements do you agree with:

59% They are migrant workers and not refugees seeking asylum. Israel has no moral obligation to allow them to stay here.
24% Hundreds of thousands of Jews arrived in Auschwitz because most of the countries of the world were not prepared to provide them with shelter. Therefore, Israel, as a Jewish state, has a moral obligation to absorb refugees and not to expel illegal infiltrators.
17% Don’t know

Poll #3: Internal Poll

Geocartography conducted a poll of 600 people for the Likud Party that was leaked/published by Yisrael Hayom on Feb 1 2018.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

69 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
51 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note: I will not add the internal poll into the KnessetJeremyPollingAverage