Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll of 534 people with a margin of error of 4.3% for Maariv that was first published their sister paper the Jerusalem Post on Dec 26 2014. In addition a scenario poll was taken if the Arab lists run together as one bloc.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [21] Labor-Livni

23 [18] Likud

17 [11] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [11] *United Arab List (5 Hadash, 6 Ra’am-Ta’al, 0 Balad)

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

05 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

04 [10] Shas

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)

00 [02] Kadima

67 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

*I will list Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together as “United Arab List” & give separate results in (brackets) until they complete merger.

Scenario Poll: United Arab Ticket

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [21] Labor-Livni

24 [18] Likud

18 [11] Bayit Yehudi

13 [11] United Arab List

11 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [–] Koolanu (Kahlon)

06 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Meretz

04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai/Chetboun)

00 [10] Shas (3 seats but under threshold)

00 [02] Kadima

66 [61] Right-Religious (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)

54 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)

*Yes, in this scenario poll Shas is under the threshold for the first time since the 1980s.

Additional Questions:

Is the timing of the investigation into Yisrael Beitenu’s figures political?

44% Yes, 40% No, 16% Don’t know

(80% of Yisrael Beitenu voters answered yes)

How corrupt are the following party leaders from a scale of one to ten.

Liberman 7.1, Netanyahu 5.5, Livni 5.4, Lapid 5.1, Herzog 4.6, Bennett 3.6, Kahlon 3.

Do corruption allegations affect your vote?

14% Yes

Which party leader would best handle economic and socioeconomic issues?

Kahllon 27%, Don’t Know 20%, Herzog 17%, Netanyahu 14%, Bennett 10%, Lapid 8%, Liberman 2%.

Which party leader would best handle security issues?

Netanyahu 40%, Don’t Know 18%, Bennett 13%, Herzog 12%, Liberman 12%, Lapid 4%, Kahlon 1%

If not Netanyahu, who would you like to see as Prime Minister?

Herzog 32%, None of them 21%, Lapid 12%, Bennett 10%, Livni 9%, Don’t Know 8%, Kahlon 6%, Liberman 2%

Do you believe another escalation will take place soon in the Gaza Strip?

64% Yes, 20% Don’t know, 16% No

Do you want Prime Minister Netanyahu to be re-elected?

55% No, 38% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Do you think a campaign that is based on security issues influences voters more than other issues?

46% Yes, 28% No, 26% Don’t know

Do the poverty reports that were released have any influence on your vote?

55% No, 40% Yes, 5% Don’t know