TRI conducted a scenario poll of 501 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by NANA.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [21] Labor-Livni
21 [19] Yesh Atid & Koolanu
20 [18] Likud
16 [11] Bayit Yehudi
11 [11] *United Arab List
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [06] Meretz
05 [10] Shas
04 [02] Ha’am Itanu (Yishai)
00 [02] Kadima
00 [–] Strong Israel (polled under threshold)
Additional Questions:
If the voting in Israel was direct elections which ticket would you choose?
Netanyahu 45.1%, Herzog-Livni 32.7%, 15.7% Neither, 6.5% Don’t know
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
There is only 119 in this poll
I think the last seat went to Strong Israel (or Kadima)
The nation is ideologically split. The election will hinge on three factors: unforeseen internal or external events; scandals or gaffs; and turnout.
Its split but not evenly along right left. If you consolidate the left to Labor-Livni along with Meretz then they have about 30 tops. Lapid is his own beast. Koolanu is centrist perhaps center-right, which is why Kachlon rebuffed Lapid and then you have Likud, BY, Yishai, and if Otzma crosses orjjoins with Yishai forming about 42-46. So you have the right wing if you include Coolanu in that with about 55 seats befor ethe Chareidim or Leiberman’s party. The left has no one to pull in. Its about a 2/3 to 1/3 split.