Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on August 14th 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [19] Likud
19 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [15] Labor
11 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [06] Meretz
09 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.
* MK Shama (Likud) resignation has lowered Likud from 20 seats to 19 seats. MK Miller (Yisrael Beitenu) who took the seat raises his party from 11 seats to 12 seats.
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud Party remains on top with 28 seats, a drop of two seats from Panels poll two weeks ago. Economy Minister Naftali Bennett’s Bayit Yehudi Party scores 19 seats in this poll, the party has finished second place in five of the six polls conducted since the start of Operation Protective Edge (Dialog, Smith, Midgam and Panels). Opposition Leader Herzog’s Labor Party is in third place with 15 seats. Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu finishes in sixth place with nine seats, behind Finance Minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid Party 11 seats and Meretz’s ten seats.
Good news for Prime Minister Netanyahu: The right-religious bloc remains strong with 70 seats.
Bad news for Prime Minister Netanyahu: The internal Likud politics (Sa’ar, Erdan, Danon, Feiglin, etc) are currently a huge headache and it is no sure thing he would be re-nominated within the Likud.
Additional Questions:
Are you pleased with the conduct of each person during Operation Protective Edge?
Chief of Staff Gantz: 77% Pleased, 19% Not pleased
Defense Minister Yaalon: 57% Pleased, 36% Not pleased
Prime Minister Netanyahu: 56% Pleased, 39% Not pleased
Economy Minister Bennett: 50% Pleased, 43% Not pleased
Foreign Minister Liberman: 40% Pleased, 54% Not pleased
Justice Minister Livni: 39% Pleased, 50% Not pleased
Finance Minister Lapid: 35% Pleased, 57% Not pleased
Are you pleased with the conduct of Prime Minister Netanyahu during the Cairo negotiations?
52% No 33% Yes
Should Israel cooperate with UN inquiry commission?
55% No, 35% Yes
What level of damage will be caused to Israel following UN inquiry commission?
48% No significant damage, 25% significant damage, 15% No damage at all
Will the UN inquiry commission be fair or are the conclusions known ahead of time?
91% Conclusions leaning towards the Palestinians, 2% Conclusions will be fair
Should Israel conduct direct negotiations with Hamas regarding the Gaza Strip?
69% No, 21% Yes
What affect, if any has Operation Protective Shield had on Israeli deterrence vs Hamas?
35% No difference, 30% Deterrence was damaged, 28% Improvement in deterrence
Should Israel agree to ease the blockade on Gaza?
76% No, 18% Yes
Should Operation Protective Edge be upgraded to war status?
71% Yes, 19% No
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The IDF COS & Defense Minister score higher than Prime Minister Netanyahu. Bennett outmaneuvers other coalition party leaders (Liberman, Lapid & Livni) as the only party leader with higher favorable numbers (50%) than unfavorable numbers (43%). Israelis have a clear feeling on proposed UN commission.
* Panel Politics published a day later (Aug 15) on their Facebook page the results of an additional question that had not been broadcast by the Knesset Channel.
Which candidate is most fit to be Prime Minister?
30% Prime Minister Netanyahu, 16% Economy Minister Bennett, 11% Oppositon Leader Herzog, 6% Foreign Minister Liberman, 6% Justice Minister Livni, 3% Defense Minister Yaalon, 3% Finance Minister Lapid. 25% – None of them.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
It would be hard to be displeased with Gantz. He deserves a medal for every day he refrains from giving Netanyhu a black eye.
Great poll, really great.
Interesting that Labor has now for quite some time had a problem rising from 15 seats; anyone thinking the party will remain at about 15 seats “more” long-term?
And Meretz is back up, even beating Yisrael Beiteinu.
The additional questions about Netanyahu, gives kind of a unclear message – do more approve or not of his behavior?
Polls aside, remember Labor won 15 seats in 2013 and 13 seats in 2009.
Poll shows what many know, public back Netanyahu in war time but not during peace negotiations.
I would like to hear your comments; do you think that the left-wing parties are able to win the next election and form a government?
Well, based on these poll numbers it is obviously impossible for left or center parties to form a government.
We don’t know how poll numbers will change, we don’t know when elections are, we don’t know what new parties might appear (Kachalon, Peres or others).
Ask me that question when we are 90 days away from an election.
Peres!?
btw- who would Trajtenberg join, if he runs?
I don’t see Peres running but that doesn’t stop people from looking at it in internal polls.
Trajtenberg, like most candidates, would probably run with whoever gives him highest slot. I don’t see him going to a party with primaries.
I see that the right-block falls two MK´s since the who week ago poll of Knesset Channel (from 72 to 70). Can be related to the decrease in military tension? If the calm arrive definitely (or more or less), can be this trend continue and decrease the gap between left-wing and right-wing?
At least one of the two seats lost by the right bloc went back to Yesh Atid. That could be explained by domestic political issues such as 0% VAT housing exemption battle or many other reasons.
It will be interesting to see what happens long-term following whatever ceasefire deal is brokered. The public supported BB during operation but has very poor numbers in regards to negotiations.
So much up in the air: who the public sees as the main alternative to Bibi? Whether Herzog can position his party as security conscious yet diplomatically dovish and can it sell? Will Lieberman regain relevance? Can Bennett broaden his base permanently and from where? Will Bibi move to the center?
With all of the confusion regarding what would be in a ceasefire and anger about Netanyahu supposedly keeping the Cabinet in the dark, is there a possibility of the Likud Central Committee going over the head of Netanyahu (the party leader) to force a primary? If I’m reading the news correctly, it would seem that Liberman might be angry enough to pull his party out of the coalition, which could start a series of events leading to early elections.
Um, yeah, strike what I just said. Events have apparently made my comment irrelevant.