Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on July 17th 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [20] Likud
19 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [15] Labor
11 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [06] Meretz
08 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [11] Shas
06 [–] Kachalon Party
05 [06] Movement
03 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud remains number 1. Current trends continue, Bayit Yehudi remains in second and receives 19 seats in this poll. Center-left bloc continues their drop, as expected during wartime. Kachalon is included in this poll, as is the old 2% threshold. The larger parties would see their seats increase if you did not include Kachalon and the poll was conducted with the new 3.25% threshold.
10 Additional Questions:
Should we conduct a ground operation in Gaza now?
63% Yes, 27% No
Do you believe that Israel can topple the Hamas regime in Gaza?
58% Yes, 35% No
Do you think that business owners that sustained damage during Operation Protective Edge will receive adequate financial compensation from the government?
55% No, 33% Yes
Are you pleased or not pleased from the conduct of the following people during Operation Protective Edge?
IDF Chief of Staff Benny Gantz: Pleased 75%, Not Pleased 14%
Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon: Pleased 59%, Not Pleased 32%
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: Pleased 53%, Not Pleased 43%
Economy Minister Naftali Bennett: Pleased 43%, Not Pleased 48%
Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman: Pleased 38%, Not Pleased 57%
Finance Minister Yair Lapid: Pleased 33%, Not Pleased 52%
Other factors such as Justice Minister Livni & Opposition Leader Herzog were not polled.
Should the Prime Minister form a national unity government with the opposition parties to strengthen him during this operation?
60% No, 28% Yes
Did Prime Minister Netanyahu act correctly by firing Deputy Defense Minister Danon following Danon’s comments against the security cabinet decision?
Acted correctly 51%, did not act correctly 33%.
Among Likud voters: 54% Acted correctly, 24% did not act correctly.
Are Foreign Minister Liberman’s comments against the Prime Minister, against the security cabinet decision for a ceasefire and other decisions appropriate or not appropriate?
61% Not appropriate, 29% appropriate.
Is Israeli Hasbara succeeding in achieving international support for Operation Protective Edge?
51% No, 41% Yes
Should the Israeli government at some point work towards a ceasefire?
65% No, 27% Yes
Have you been in an area where a siren sounded since the beginning of Operation Protective Edge?
87% Yes, 13% No
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: 87% of Israelis have been under a siren, 65% reject a ceasefire, 63% support a ground operation, 58% feel IDF can topple Hamas. 51% support Netanyahu decision to fire Danon and 61% find Liberman’s behavior not appropriate.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
This poll is very different from other:
1. Kachalon getting only 6 seats
2. Labor staying at 15 seats
But still similar to earlier polls:
1. Bayit Yehudi keeps going up
2. Shas moves even more down
an so on
Kachalon, a domestic based party, is expected to go down during wartime.
Labor does better without Kachalon.
BY will keep going up until Bennett makes a mistake.
I had predicted Shas’s downfall first, I expect all pundits to give me credit, when its all over. 😉
I would already give you credit, the fact that Shas is all the time going down inpolls proves you are (will be) right.
BY: let’s hope Bennett “plays it cool” and does not make a mistake. Hope you (try to) tell him that as you belong to the party
If the people who do these polls are over 18-years-old and mentally competent, why do they use a 2% threshold? Why don’t they add the Cow Jumped Over the Moon party and leave out Labor and Shas as well?
The reasoning for the 2% threshold is that we know Kadmia, Livni, and at least some of the Arab parties will merge ahead of new elections. The idea is to poll them by the outgoing rules of the game, not the new rules of the game. I disagree with the logic, but that is the reasoning.
New Poll please. We who have suffered under leftwing Erev Rav garbage over the last ten years would like to bear witness week by week to the decimation of the Erev Rav political parties here in Eretz Yisrael.
Isn’t it odd that there have been no new polls in the last ten days? What are the pollsters trying to hide?
Jeremy, You have to ask your slick, avant garde leftwing friends in the Tishkoret why there have been no polls in the last ten days. They are trying to hide something……as usual. kind of like how Channel One never gave Latma any air time. They deposit everything that shows that they are wrong in the shredder or the circular file. They are pieces of cr#@ who hold parties when they watch settlers being pulled out of their homes at 2am. They are so beloved in Europe. For them that is what counts. still waiting for a legit. poll now that this war is almost 3 weeks old.
Come on Jeremy, please ask your friends in the polling industry here why there have been no polls for almost two weeks. What are they trying to hide? I have seen way too much malevolent intent in the Tishkoret (the lying, deceiving media) here to know that they are trying to hide the collapse of leftwing parties. Or at least give me the courtesy of a response from you to this comment.
I am in reserves now, I don’t really have time to call everyone and ask them why they are polling questions but not Knesset seats.
I am sure there will be plenty of polls when it is over.
Keep yourself safe.
thank you
As the military front moves forward with a left/right consensus the political barricades have shifted on the diplomatic front. My bet is that Bibi would, once quiet is achieved, would love to switch out Bayit Yehudi for Kadima and Labor and serve at least another 12-14 months. In the election which follows (assuming Bibi can maintain a base) a center/ right/realist left coalition with a strong social component can win out over messianists and ultra nationalists on the right. The new government might include everyone but BY, YB, and the Haredi parties (though a breakaway Deri faction might join).
Addendum to my previous post: Meretz, Hadash and the Newly united Arab list to be would not figure in coalition talks unless Labor has an unusually strong showing.
Herzog referred to Balad, one of the Israeli Arab parties as a Muslim Brotherhood party, labeling it “the only legal Muslim Brotherhood party in region, if not in the world”. No Israeli Arab party has ever joined any coalition, even by left governments. Herzog has also been supportive of the current war. Meretz leader Zahava Gal-On has defended Balad and MK Zoabi and has went on record as being against the current war. Meretz/Hadash/Ra’am-Ta’al/Balad seem to be content to always remain in the opposition. If Labor does form a government they would most likely be the party most to the left in that government, with a chance of maybe (maybe) Meretz joining.
The G-d of Israel will not allow for your scenario to take place. 1. Not only would Bayit Yehudi leave, but Yisrael Beiteinu will dump Bibi too. 2. As a matter of fact over half of the present Likud MKs would rather be working for Feiglin. Don’t think for even one minute that Babi Bibi has the political clout of an Ariel Sharon. One of the results of this war is the collapse of the Left, and Likud party apparatus knows that any alliance with the hollow Left who no longer represents the numbers that voted for them would be suicide for Danon and company in the next elections. The rank and file in Likud and the MKs in Likud won’t buy it for a minute.
I am not aware of any Likud MK that would rather work for MK Feiglin over PM Netanyahu.
*Netanyahu wants Labor but Herzog doesn’t want Netanyahu. Herzog believes that his way into the Prime Minister Chair will be from the position of Opposition Leader, not a government minister.
*Netanyahu does not like Mofaz very much and refused to let 2-seat Kadima join the coalition last year, even though Mofaz wanted to.
*If any of the Haredi parties were to join the government, it would have been during the war, not afterwards. Lapid has said he will leave government if Haredim go in, so there is no real reason for Netanyahu to make that switch.
Here’s a new poll: http://www.globes.co.il/en/article-likud-charges-ahead-poll-1000959784
Because of my army reserve service I am not always able to get it up on time, thanks.