Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on Sept 18 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [19] Likud

20 [12] Bayit Yehudi

16 [15] Labor

12 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [06] Meretz

08 [12] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [11] Shas

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

69 [61] Right-Religious

51 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Interesting poll. Likud is at a 4-month low with 25 seats. Bayit Yehudi captures 20 seats in this poll. I believe this is the first public poll in which Bayit Yehudi has received 20 seats since it was founded in 2008. The poll was conducted yesterday and last night, so there is an impact in terms of Gidon Saar’s announcement of intent to resign before the Knesset opens Oct 27. A poll earlier this week polled Yesh Atid at 8 seats, here they poll higher (12).

Additional Questions:

Who is most fit to be Prime Minister?

24% Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, 16% Economy Minister Naftali Bennett, 10% Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman, 10% Opposition Leader Yitzhak Herzog, 8% Justice Minister Tzipi Livni, 4% Finance Minister Yair Lapid, 2% Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 10 on Sept 15 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [19] Likud
16 [12] Bayit Yehudi
14 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [15] Labor
10 [11] Shas
08 [19] Yesh Atid
07 [–] New Kachalon Party
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Meretz
05 [06] Movement
10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
00 [02] Kadima

79 [61] Right-Religious
41 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The three right wing parties in the top three spots with 79 seats for the bloc. We are seeing some polling companies that are showing these type of results (Geocartography being another one), while others such as Panels and Smith are showing the right-religious bloc closer to 70 (instead of 80).

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on Sept 11 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [19] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

15 [15] Labor

11 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

09 [12] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [11] Shas

04 [06] Movement

03 [04] Hadash

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

71 [61] Right-Religious

49 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.

Reminder: MK Shama (Likud) resignation has lowered Likud from 20 seats to 19 seats. MK Miller (Yisrael Beitenu) who took the seat raises his party from 11 seats to 12 seats.

Additional Questions:

Do you feel that ISIS is a threat?

39% A threat, 31% Serious threat, 26% Not a threat

Do you trust President Obama to lead the fight against ISIS?

70% No, 26% Yes

Do you think President Obama is a strong leader in regards to managing the US foreign affairs?

41% Weak, 36% Very weak, 21% Strong

Do you think the US should cooperate with Iran to resolve the ISIS threat?

44% No, 36% Yes

Will the new Bayit Yehudi Party Constitution strengthen or weaken the party?

48% Don’t know, 29% Weaken, 23% Strengthen

Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 55% Strengthen, 29% Don’t know, 16% Weaken

Should Bayit Yehudi open itself up to new audiences that are not religious Zionist Jews?

60% Yes, 21% No

Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 73% Yes, 18% No

Should Defense Budget be increased?

50% Yes, 40% No

What subject bothers you the most in the Israeli education system?

43% Violence at schools, 17% Quality of teachers, 12% Classroom density