Maagar Mohot conducted a poll for Channel 2 that was broadcast on November 29 2012
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
38 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home-Tekuma
09 [—] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [—] Yesh Atid
04 [04] Hadash
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence
73 [65] Right
47 [55] Center-Left
Panels poll of 498 people with a +/- 4.3% error sample was conducted for Knesset Channel that was broadcast on November 29 2012.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
10 [10] Shas
10 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [—] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Strong Israel
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left
Smith conducted a poll of 500 people for Globes and the Jerusalem Post that was published on November 29 2012.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
11 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
10 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [—] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [—] Green Movement
68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left
Note: Poll indicated that Kadima, Strong Israel and Green Movement are close to threshold.
Maagar Mochot poll broadcast on Channel 10 on November 27 2012
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [—] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [—] Yesh Atid
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel
70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left
Scenario Poll: Livni as number 2 in Labor
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
38 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
25 [08] Labor with Livni as #2
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel
71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left
Only 9% of Likud voters are bothered by a right wing Likud list.
Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #7 (week of Nov 18-24) of 7 polls (3 Channel 2 polls, Ma’ariv, Ha’aretz, Knesset Channel and ICPT):
Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 5 average in (brackets)
38.0 (37.0) [42] Likud Beitenu
21.4 (21.5) [08] Labor
11.8 (11.0) [10] Shas
11.1 (13.0) [–] Yesh Atid
9.5 (11.0) [05] National Union-Jewish Home
5.7 (5.0) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.0 (4.5) [03] Meretz
3.8 (3.5) [04] Hadash
3.5 (3.0) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.2 (3.5) [03] Balad
2.7 (2.5) [01] Am Shalem
1.8 (2.5) [05] Independence
1.4 (0.0) [02] Strong Israel
1.0 (2.0) [28] Kadima
69.5 (66.5) [65] Right
50.8 (53.5) [55] Center-Left
Note: I didn’t include Livni Party scenario polls because she has not announced yet the formation of her party. Deadline for all parties to submit their lists is December 6th.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 