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Filed under: Knesset, Other — 1 Comment
December 23, 2013

* Negotiations Deadline with Palestinians is April 29. Holocaust Remembrance Day (Yom HaShoah) is April 28. It should lead to interesting speeches. Although, Knesset will be on recess.

* The current Knesset winter session will end on March 23rd 2014. March 23rd is a Sunday, so Wednesday March 19 will most likely be the last Knesset plenum day of the session. High profile bills such as the National Referendum, Electoral Reform and Haredi Draft Bills are expected to be passed in their third readings before the session ends.

* The Knesset’s summer session will start on May 11th 2014 and end on August 3rd 2014. The following winter session would start on October 26th 2014.

* I’m looking forward to more polling. Nothing to report right now. There has been some talk in polling company circles about polling a Kachalon party. I have not heard anyone talk about polling a new Shimon Peres party.

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Globes/Smith Poll following Liberman Trial & Labor Primary: Likud Beitenu 37, Labor 19, Bayit Yehudi 12, Yesh Atid 11, Shas 10

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 9 Comments
November 28, 2013

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by Globes on Nov 28 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
37 [31] Likud Beitenu
19 [15] Labor
12 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [11] Shas
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [06] Movement
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima

67 [61] Right-Religious
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu’s bump is three seats higher than the Panels poll. Labor is second place with 19 seats in both polls. Bayit Yehudi receives 12 seats in both polls. Shas also receives 10 seats in both polls. Meretz has 9 seats in the Smith poll and is the sixth largest party compared to 13 seats and third largest party in the Panels poll. In this poll Livni’s Movement party is down to three seats, barely above the current threshold of 2% which is expected to be raised.
Bottom line: The 67 seats in this poll for the four right wing and religious factions would ensure a very stable coalition for PM Netanyahu without the need of adding coalition pieces from the center or left.

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Poll Following Liberman Trial & Labor Primary: Likud Beitenu 35, Labor 19, Meretz 13, Bayit Yehudi 12, Yesh Atid 10, Shas 10

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 1 Comment

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcasted by Knesset Channel 99 on Nov 28 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
35 [31] Likud Beitenu
19 [15] Labor
13 [06] Meretz
12 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [11] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [02] Kadima
63 [61] Right-Religious
57 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu sees a small bump following Liberman acquittal. Labor stays similar to previous polls under new leadership in Herzog. Meretz jumps to third largest party for the first time I can remember with 13 seats. Bayit Yehudi is fourth. Yesh Atid and Shas remain in double digits.

Bottom line: The right-religious block remains in lead which would grant Netanyahu another term as PM.

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Jeremy’s Radio Interview on Prisoner Release and a Failed Two-State Solution

Filed under: Other — Leave a comment
November 6, 2013

Radio Link: http://yishaifleisher.com/radio/radio-driving-school-prisoner-release-and-a-failed-two-state-solution/

Jewish Press Link: http://www.jewishpress.com/tv/radio/driving-school-prisoner-release-and-a-failed-two-state-solution/2013/11/07/

Galey Yisrael Radio (Yishai Fleisher Show): Segment 2 of November 5, 2013. Yishai broadcasts from Café Café in the bustling Mamilla Mall and is joined by Knesset insider Jerermy Man Saltan. Yishai begins by talking about his recently completed traffic school and gives examples of quirks of Israeli drivers such as following too close. They move on to talk about the release of many terrorist prisoners and end discussing the situation behind the execution of a supposed two-state peace agreement.

Knesset Jeremy: https://knessetjeremy.com/

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Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 30, Labor 17, Bayit Yehudi 16, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 11

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 9 Comments
November 5, 2013

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcasted by Knesset Channel 99 on Nov 4 2013.

Additionally, they asked Bayit Yehudi voters specific questions.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
16 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [19] Yesh Atid
11 [06] Meretz
09 [11] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [02] Kadima

61 [61] Right-Religious
59 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Bayit Yehudi Voters:

How did Bennett handle release of 26 terrorists?

88% satisfied
12% terrible

Which version do you believe Bennett or Netanyahu?

62% Bennett
15% Netanyahu

Should Bennett stay in government?

66% Yes

Pact with Yesh Atid or Haredi parties?

33% Yesh Atid
25% Haredi

Why vote Bayit Yehudi?

52% platform
46% traditional Jewish values

Did Bennett’s success in high tech make him more suitable to lead party?

55% Yes

Favorable/Relatable (all parties polled):

28% Bennett
17% Shaked
17% Orbach
13% Ariel
10% Struck
5% Slomiansky

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