Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on August 14th 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [19] Likud
19 [12] Bayit Yehudi
15 [15] Labor
11 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [06] Meretz
09 [12] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
70 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Note: This poll was conducted according to the old 2% threshold, instead of the new 3.25% threshold.
* MK Shama (Likud) resignation has lowered Likud from 20 seats to 19 seats. MK Miller (Yisrael Beitenu) who took the seat raises his party from 11 seats to 12 seats.
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud Party remains on top with 28 seats, a drop of two seats from Panels poll two weeks ago. Economy Minister Naftali Bennett’s Bayit Yehudi Party scores 19 seats in this poll, the party has finished second place in five of the six polls conducted since the start of Operation Protective Edge (Dialog, Smith, Midgam and Panels). Opposition Leader Herzog’s Labor Party is in third place with 15 seats. Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu finishes in sixth place with nine seats, behind Finance Minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid Party 11 seats and Meretz’s ten seats.
Good news for Prime Minister Netanyahu: The right-religious bloc remains strong with 70 seats.
Bad news for Prime Minister Netanyahu: The internal Likud politics (Sa’ar, Erdan, Danon, Feiglin, etc) are currently a huge headache and it is no sure thing he would be re-nominated within the Likud.
Additional Questions:
Are you pleased with the conduct of each person during Operation Protective Edge?
Chief of Staff Gantz: 77% Pleased, 19% Not pleased
Defense Minister Yaalon: 57% Pleased, 36% Not pleased
Prime Minister Netanyahu: 56% Pleased, 39% Not pleased
Economy Minister Bennett: 50% Pleased, 43% Not pleased
Foreign Minister Liberman: 40% Pleased, 54% Not pleased
Justice Minister Livni: 39% Pleased, 50% Not pleased
Finance Minister Lapid: 35% Pleased, 57% Not pleased
Are you pleased with the conduct of Prime Minister Netanyahu during the Cairo negotiations?
52% No 33% Yes
Should Israel cooperate with UN inquiry commission?
55% No, 35% Yes
What level of damage will be caused to Israel following UN inquiry commission?
48% No significant damage, 25% significant damage, 15% No damage at all
Will the UN inquiry commission be fair or are the conclusions known ahead of time?
91% Conclusions leaning towards the Palestinians, 2% Conclusions will be fair
Should Israel conduct direct negotiations with Hamas regarding the Gaza Strip?
69% No, 21% Yes
What affect, if any has Operation Protective Shield had on Israeli deterrence vs Hamas?
35% No difference, 30% Deterrence was damaged, 28% Improvement in deterrence
Should Israel agree to ease the blockade on Gaza?
76% No, 18% Yes
Should Operation Protective Edge be upgraded to war status?
71% Yes, 19% No
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The IDF COS & Defense Minister score higher than Prime Minister Netanyahu. Bennett outmaneuvers other coalition party leaders (Liberman, Lapid & Livni) as the only party leader with higher favorable numbers (50%) than unfavorable numbers (43%). Israelis have a clear feeling on proposed UN commission.
* Panel Politics published a day later (Aug 15) on their Facebook page the results of an additional question that had not been broadcast by the Knesset Channel.
Which candidate is most fit to be Prime Minister?
30% Prime Minister Netanyahu, 16% Economy Minister Bennett, 11% Oppositon Leader Herzog, 6% Foreign Minister Liberman, 6% Justice Minister Livni, 3% Defense Minister Yaalon, 3% Finance Minister Lapid. 25% – None of them.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 